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Stachys Oil and Gas

Futures · Started Sep 2017

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
156.7%
Max Drawdown
3.6%
Trades
37
Win Trades
67.6%
Profit Factor
37.20
Win Months
28.6%

About this strategy

Day trading CL and NG futures.
Starting capital 10 000 $. Trading 1 contract. Only one position at time
Trading time : European and US session.
Holding positions most of the time, except for API; EIA results and storage report.
All positions closed by end of day.
Trend following system.
Manual trading, using market orders. My signals are custom, there is stop loss placed with each trade.
Average stop loss is 25-30 ticks.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20176.5-16.40.0-25.3-33.4
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.0-1.0-8.30.8-12.0-10.370.1
2020-0.8-1.4-1.0-8.8-7.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-18.7
20210.00.00.028.40.00.00.00.043.20.00.00.083.9
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.071.5-11.20.0-0.80.03.51.82.00.062.6
2024-11.61.20.410.9-1.9-3.30.0-12.10.043.3-26.91.9-11.3
202537.5-9.26.7-17.927.8-7.81.1-3.41.04.40.6-17.99.7
20265.64.039.9-7.47.5-22.415.42.63.75.854.2

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/20/2017
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age110 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades37
# Profitable25
% Profitable67.6%
Avg trade duration177.9 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown3.6%
drawdown periodSept 20, 2017 - Sept 21, 2017
Cumul. Return3.9%
Avg win$1,308
Avg loss$73

Ratios

W:L ratio37.17
Sharpe Ratio0.38
Sortino Ratio0.99
Calmar Ratio6.79

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life207.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)3.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)156.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)17.1%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)692
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)688

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$73
Avg Win$1,308
# Winners25
Sum Trade PL (losers)$880
Sum Trade PL (winners)$32,710
Num Months Winners30
# Losers12
% Winners67.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table110

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)256159.95
Avg Position Time (hrs)4269.33
Avg Trade Length177.90
Last Trade Ago3290

Regression

Alpha0.08
Beta0.04
Treynor Index1.95

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.27
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-4.00
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.82
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats41.18
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats61.75
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades2.16
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.10
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.28

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.04
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.13

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QCL X7long1Oct 2, 2017Oct 2, 2017($58)
QCL X7long1Oct 2, 2017Oct 2, 2017($98)
QNG X7long1Sep 29, 2017Sep 29, 2017$12
QCL X7short1Sep 29, 2017Sep 29, 2017$52
QCL X7long1Sep 29, 2017Sep 29, 2017($18)
QNG X7long1Sep 29, 2017Sep 29, 2017$72
QNG X7long1Sep 29, 2017Sep 29, 2017($38)
QCL X7long1Sep 28, 2017Sep 28, 2017$12
QCL X7long1Sep 28, 2017Sep 28, 2017($28)
QCL X7short1Sep 28, 2017Sep 28, 2017$42
QCL X7short1Sep 27, 2017Sep 27, 2017$42
QNG X7short1Sep 27, 2017Sep 27, 2017$72
QNG X7long1Sep 27, 2017Sep 27, 2017$162
QNG X7long1Sep 26, 2017Sep 26, 2017$52
QNG X7long1Sep 26, 2017Sep 26, 2017($8)
QCL X7short1Sep 26, 2017Sep 26, 2017$212
QNG X7long1Sep 26, 2017Sep 26, 2017($168)
QCL X7long1Sep 26, 2017Sep 26, 2017$32
QCL X7long1Sep 26, 2017Sep 26, 2017$62
QCL X7short1Sep 25, 2017Sep 25, 2017($68)
QCL X7short1Sep 25, 2017Sep 25, 2017($28)
QCL X7short1Sep 25, 2017Sep 25, 2017$52
QCL X7long1Sep 25, 2017Sep 25, 2017$42
QCL X7short1Sep 22, 2017Sep 22, 2017$62
QCL X7long1Sep 22, 2017Sep 22, 2017$72
QCL X7short1Sep 22, 2017Sep 22, 2017($48)
QCL X7short1Sep 22, 2017Sep 22, 2017$52
QCL X7short1Sep 21, 2017Sep 21, 2017$12
QCL X7long1Sep 21, 2017Sep 21, 2017$22
QCL X7long1Sep 21, 2017Sep 21, 2017$182

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.