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Amazing Options

Options · Started Jun 2018

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
2
Win Trades
50.0%
Profit Factor
0
Win Months
0.0%

About this strategy

Clone of system 104382762 as of Fri Sep 1 14:47:18 2017 ET

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2018-102.90.00.00.00.00.00.0-102.9
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began6/13/2018
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age102 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades2
# Profitable1
% Profitable50.0%
Avg trade duration1.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodJune 15, 2018 - June 16, 2018
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$4
Avg loss$10,049

Ratios

W:L ratio0
Sharpe Ratio-14.29
Sortino Ratio-10.62
Calmar Ratio-1

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.49
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life173.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-281.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity—
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$10,049
Avg Win$4
# Winners1
Sum Trade PL (losers)$10,049
Sum Trade PL (winners)$4
Num Months Winners0
# Losers1
% Winners50.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table1

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)2154.50
Avg Position Time (hrs)35.91
Avg Trade Length1.50
Last Trade Ago3055

Regression

Alpha0
Beta12.66
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades—
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-1
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-1
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats2.66
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-1

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-1.00
SD1.00
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.93
df11
t-1
p0.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.02
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.93
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.07
Sortino ratio-1
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-1.00
Upside SD0
Downside SD1.00
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms1
N of observations12
Mean of predictor1.01
Mean of criterion-1.00
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion1.00
Covariance0.09
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.57
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.58
Mean Square Error1.04
DF error10
t(b)0.73
p(b)0.24
t(a)-1.22
p(a)0.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-4.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.31
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.75
Jensen alpha (a)-1.58
Mean-8.98
SD8.98
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.93
df11
t-1
p0.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.02
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.93
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.07
Sortino ratio-1
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-8.98
Upside SD0
Downside SD8.98
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms1
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.91
Mean of criterion-8.98
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion8.98
Covariance0.71
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)5.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-13.66
Mean Square Error84.74
DF error10
t(b)0.69
p(b)0.25
t(a)-1.19
p(a)0.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-11.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta21.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-39.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha11.85
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.74
Jensen alpha (a)-13.66
VaR(95%)0.99
Expected Shortfall on VaR1.00
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
Mean-2.47
SD1.47
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.68
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.67
df276
t-1.73
p0.96
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.23
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.59
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.24
Sortino ratio-1.67
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-2.47
Upside SD0
Downside SD1.47
N nonnegative terms274
N negative terms3
N of observations277
Mean of predictor1.08
Mean of criterion-2.47
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion1.47
Covariance0.01
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.52
Mean Square Error2.16
DF error275
t(b)0.26
p(b)0.40
t(a)-1.74
p(a)0.96
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-5.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.33
Treynor index (mean / b)-49.74
Jensen alpha (a)-2.52
Mean-8.50
SD5.93
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.43
df276
t-1.47
p0.93
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.48
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.34
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.48
Sortino ratio-1.43
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-8.50
Upside SD0
Downside SD5.94
N nonnegative terms274
N negative terms3
N of observations277
Mean of predictor0.97
Mean of criterion-8.50
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion5.93
Covariance0.04
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.17
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-8.66
Mean Square Error35.31
DF error275
t(b)0.23
p(b)0.41
t(a)-1.49
p(a)0.93
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-20.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.81
Treynor index (mean / b)-49.97
Jensen alpha (a)-8.66
VaR(95%)0.47
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.54
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.06
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.95
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations12
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 10.67
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.00
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations277
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.13
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-2.40
VaR(95%) (regression method)-21.70
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-438335680
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-1.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-1.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.00
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.95
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-1.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.85
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
TSLA1815R320 long159Jun 13, 2018Jun 16, 2018($10,160)
TSLA1815R320 long1Jun 13, 2018Jun 13, 2018$2

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.