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L futures trading

Futures · Started May 2017

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-74.2%
Max Drawdown
3.9%
Trades
16
Win Trades
68.8%
Profit Factor
0.40
Win Months
0.0%

About this strategy

Trading Natural Gas, Index futures; Crude Oil, Gold, Silver.

Momentum based strategy.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2017-3.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-3.6
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/11/2017
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age115 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades16
# Profitable11
% Profitable68.8%
Avg trade duration11.7 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown3.9%
drawdown periodMay 15, 2017 - May 16, 2017
Cumul. Return-3.2%
Avg win$96
Avg loss$497

Ratios

W:L ratio0.43
Sharpe Ratio-2.06
Sortino Ratio-2.19
Calmar Ratio-0.75

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life222.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-3.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-74.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-0.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity4.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$497
Avg Win$96
# Winners11
Sum Trade PL (losers)$2,484
Sum Trade PL (winners)$1,060
Num Months Winners0
# Losers5
% Winners68.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table114

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)702.97
Avg Position Time (hrs)11.72
Avg Trade Length0.50
Last Trade Ago3438

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0
Treynor Index-31.42

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.97
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.08
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats40.60
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats63.10
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.53
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.94
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.47

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.00

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@NQ M7short4May 12, 2017May 16, 2017($2,397)
QCL N7short1May 15, 2017May 15, 2017$52
QNG M7short1May 15, 2017May 15, 2017$112
QNG M7short2May 12, 2017May 14, 2017$314
QMGC M7long3May 12, 2017May 12, 2017$13
QMGC M7short2May 12, 2017May 12, 2017($5)
QNG M7short1May 12, 2017May 12, 2017$142
@NQ M7long1May 12, 2017May 12, 2017$42
@NQ M7short1May 12, 2017May 12, 2017($43)
@NQ M7short1May 12, 2017May 12, 2017$17
QCL M7short1May 12, 2017May 12, 2017$82
@NQ M7short1May 12, 2017May 12, 2017$67
QCL M7short1May 12, 2017May 12, 2017($88)
@NQ M7short1May 11, 2017May 12, 2017$87
QCL M7short1May 11, 2017May 11, 2017($8)
QNG M7short1May 11, 2017May 11, 2017$42

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.