Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Capitalize on Volatility

Options · Started May 2017

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
27.4%
Max Drawdown
83.0%
Trades
159
Win Trades
88.1%
Profit Factor
5.50
Win Months
9.7%

About this strategy


The strategy attempts to (1) buy and sell options (both short and long term) to generate consistent income and (2) buy and sell shares of XIV and TVIX to take advantage of the volatility term structure, roll-yield and risk premium.

The strategy relies on an algorithm and historical data although final trading decisions are subjective and trades are entered manually. There is no backtest data available.

NEW SUBSCRIBERS: It is each individual subscriber's decision whether to enter open trades or wait for the next new trade. For open options trades with short maturities, you could be entering at an extremely unfavorable price.

RISK MANAGEMENT: For (1) options traded by the strategy, there are typically no stop losses and no hedges used due to (a) for short term maturity options, the options being so far out of the money, and (b) for long term maturity options, the time to expiry being so far out when purchased or sold. For (2) share purchases, there are typically no stop losses and no hedges used. Any risk management that you require is up to individual subscribers.

MARGIN REQUIREMENTS AT BROKER: I intend to trade the full C2 "Portfolio Value" and I have adequate margin in my Interactive Brokers account to cover my trades. So, for example, if the C2 Portfolio Value is $100,000 and Interactive Brokers requires 5 x Portfolio Value as its margin requirement, then I will have $500,000 in my Interactive Brokers account to avoid margin calls. It might take you some time to figure out your personal scaling so begin by scaling far below what you anticipate the appropriate scaling level should be and then adjust as you see fit. All scaling questions should be addressed to your broker and/or C2.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201760.791.897.248.03.2-4.40.55.0837.2
20185.3-16.23.49.57.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.07.3
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/2/2017
Suggested Minimum Capital$7,956
Age116 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades159
# Profitable140
% Profitable88.1%
Avg trade duration11.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown83.0%
drawdown periodJan 31, 2018 - Feb 06, 2018
Annual Return (Compounded)27.4%
Avg win$746
Avg loss$1,004

Ratios

W:L ratio5.48
Sharpe Ratio0.56
Sortino Ratio1.16
Calmar Ratio3.74

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life215.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)686.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)27.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)29.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss60.5%
Chance of 20% account loss46.0%
Chance of 30% account loss34.5%
Chance of 40% account loss22.5%
Chance of 50% account loss20.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)10.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,004
Avg Win$746
# Winners140
Sum Trade PL (losers)$19,071
Sum Trade PL (winners)$104,433
Num Months Winners11
# Losers19
% Winners88.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table115

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)16217.70
Avg Position Time (hrs)270.30
Avg Trade Length11.30
Last Trade Ago3092

Regression

Alpha0.09
Beta0.03
Treynor Index3.32

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.08
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades4.67
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)5.49
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats71.56
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats90.33
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.99
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-3.22
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.21

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean1.54
SD1.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.47
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.43
df25
t2.17
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.85
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.82
Sortino ratio14.81
Upside Potential Ratio15.63
Upside part of mean1.63
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD1.11
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms24
N negative terms2
N of observations26
Mean of predictor0.60
Mean of criterion1.54
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion1.05
Covariance-0.06
r-0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.38
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.78
Mean Square Error1.12
DF error24
t(b)-0.71
p(b)0.76
t(a)2.25
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.73
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.40
Treynor index (mean / b)-4.02
Jensen alpha (a)1.78
Mean1.14
SD0.76
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.50
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.45
df25
t2.21
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.06
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.84
Sortino ratio10.10
Upside Potential Ratio10.91
Upside part of mean1.23
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.80
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms24
N negative terms2
N of observations26
Mean of predictor0.53
Mean of criterion1.14
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.76
Covariance-0.04
r-0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.29
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.29
Mean Square Error0.59
DF error24
t(b)-0.66
p(b)0.74
t(a)2.26
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.62
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.46
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.93
Jensen alpha (a)1.29
VaR(95%)0.23
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.30
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean1.48
SD0.89
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.66
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.66
df574
t2.46
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.99
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.33
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.98
Sortino ratio3.39
Upside Potential Ratio5.09
Upside part of mean2.22
Downside part of mean-0.74
Upside SD0.78
Downside SD0.44
N nonnegative terms509
N negative terms66
N of observations575
Mean of predictor0.60
Mean of criterion1.48
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion0.89
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.47
Mean Square Error0.79
DF error573
t(b)0.18
p(b)0.43
t(a)2.43
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.66
Treynor index (mean / b)86.43
Jensen alpha (a)1.47
Mean1.12
SD0.84
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.34
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.33
df574
t1.98
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.66
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.66
Sortino ratio1.93
Upside Potential Ratio3.43
Upside part of mean2.00
Downside part of mean-0.88
Upside SD0.61
Downside SD0.58
N nonnegative terms509
N negative terms66
N of observations575
Mean of predictor0.53
Mean of criterion1.12
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion0.84
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.11
Mean Square Error0.71
DF error573
t(b)0.19
p(b)0.43
t(a)1.95
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.23
Treynor index (mean / b)65.38
Jensen alpha (a)1.11
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.21
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.09
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations26
Minimum0.85
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.94
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.48
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.85
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high1.79
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.62
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.31
Number of observations575
Minimum0.47
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.82
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low38
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high109
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.38
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.05
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.06
Median0.09
Quartile 30.12
Maximum0.15
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.15
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations14
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.55
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.18
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.33
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.84
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.15
Expected Shortfall (moments method)1.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.81
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.42
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-433358400
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)6
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)4.95
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)2.12
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)14.19
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs14.19
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.11
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)4.89
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)2.07
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs11.22
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal21.24
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 186 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
VIX1816E35 short300Apr 24, 2018May 16, 2018$3,290
VIX1816E37.5 short100Apr 24, 2018May 16, 2018$2,430
VIX1816E47.5 short100Apr 25, 2018May 16, 2018$1,430
VIX1816Q9 short200Jan 19, 2018May 16, 2018$860
VIX1816E50 short100May 1, 2018May 16, 2018$430
VIX1825D30 short50Apr 19, 2018Apr 25, 2018$215
VIX1825D25 short50Apr 19, 2018Apr 25, 2018$215
VIX1818D45 short100Apr 4, 2018Apr 18, 2018$1,430
VIX1818D22 short50Apr 16, 2018Apr 18, 2018$215
VIX1818D50 short50Apr 2, 2018Apr 18, 2018$715
VIX1811D45 short50Apr 2, 2018Apr 11, 2018$590
VIX1804P14 short10Mar 29, 2018Apr 4, 2018$13
VIX1804D42.5 short10Mar 29, 2018Apr 4, 2018$43
VIX1804D40 short30Mar 29, 2018Apr 4, 2018$129
UVXY1829C22 short20Mar 28, 2018Mar 30, 2018$486
VIX1821O9 short500Jan 10, 2018Mar 21, 2018$2,150
VIX1821B40 short10Jan 23, 2018Feb 21, 2018$43
UVXY1816B35 short10Jan 29, 2018Feb 17, 2018$128
VIX1814B40 short10Feb 5, 2018Feb 14, 2018$93
VIX1814B28 short20Feb 2, 2018Feb 14, 2018$386
VIX1814B35 short10Feb 1, 2018Feb 14, 2018$43
VIX1814B32.5 short30Jan 29, 2018Feb 14, 2018$279
VIX1814B42.5 short10Jan 25, 2018Feb 14, 2018$43
VIX1814B30 short20Jan 29, 2018Feb 14, 2018$186
VIX1807B23 short20Jan 29, 2018Feb 7, 2018($13,074)
VIX1831A32.5 short20Jan 17, 2018Jan 31, 2018$86
VIX1831A30 short71Jan 10, 2018Jan 31, 2018$305
UVXY1826A25 short50Jan 18, 2018Jan 27, 2018$382
VIX1817A20 short10Jan 10, 2018Jan 17, 2018$43
VIX1817A15 short30Jan 16, 2018Jan 17, 2018$129

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.