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Regular Income

Options · Options · Started Nov 2016

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-4.3%
Max Drawdown
30.1%
Trades
261
Win Trades
82.0%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
17.5%

About this strategy

Regular Income is an income trading strategy based on selling options on stocks & ETFs. It’s not about getting rich quickly with risky trades, but steady growth of the account even in bearish markets.
In most of the trades I’m selling naked out of the money put options with high probability of profit on several underlyings depending on the market conditions. By selling options we collect the premium from the option buyer.
I perform a daily routine every morning that shows me if the market is in a good condition for selling options and how's the market volatility.
Based on this big picture I scan the markets using different web tools like Dough, Finviz and Stockfetcher to look for high probability setups for selling options. I'm watching e.g. for high Implied Volatility Rank, no earning release dates are ahead and the return on margin factor and so on.
I’m looking for options with about 45 days till expiration. Depending on the volatility I risk between 0.5% to max. 2% of the portfolio size per position. Instead of trading big position sizes I like to trade small and often. That enables me to spread the risk in the portfolio onto more underlying stocks & ETFs.

I close the position with a profit if the option price dropped around 50%.
I close or adjust a position if it lost 200% of the initial premium, I earned by selling the option.

Notes for new Subscribers:
I strongly recommend Autotrading the strategy.
You need at least $10,000 in order to follow this strategy at 100% scaling. I’m trying to utilize between 50-70% of the accounts margin. So if you got for example $20,000, you should autotrade with 200% scaling.
You must enable “short options” in the C2 autotrading control panel, otherwise the selling orders will not be submitted to your broker.

Find more information about this strategy on my Facebook page “Regular Income Trading”.

Premium Collecting

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2016-0.41.31.0
2017-0.13.23.03.90.6-2.42.0-0.01.2-1.43.70.114.4
20183.8-13.5-17.81.30.70.60.82.71.4-8.31.4-1.3-27.1
20192.90.12.20.0-11.80.2-1.0-1.10.00.00.00.0-8.9
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began11/8/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age121 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades261
# Profitable214
% Profitable82.0%
Avg trade duration15.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown30.1%
drawdown periodJan 29, 2018 - June 03, 2019
Annual Return (Compounded)-4.3%
Avg win$56
Avg loss$216

Ratios

W:L ratio1.18
Sharpe Ratio-0.42
Sortino Ratio-0.47
Calmar Ratio0.20

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.09
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life259.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-52.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-4.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity57.9%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss24.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)662
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)461

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$216
Avg Win$56
# Winners214
Sum Trade PL (losers)$10,172
Sum Trade PL (winners)$12,037
Num Months Winners23
# Losers47
% Winners82.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct12

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table120

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)21673.97
Avg Position Time (hrs)361.23
Avg Trade Length15.10
Last Trade Ago2698

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.50
Daily leverage (max)9.05

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.05
Treynor Index-0.25

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades36.39
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.85
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats13.55
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats24.59
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.00
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.22
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.03

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.05
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.31
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.30
df32
t0.51
p0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.49
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.89
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.48
Sortino ratio0.36
Upside Potential Ratio1.57
Upside part of mean0.20
Downside part of mean-0.16
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms25
N negative terms8
N of observations33
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance0.01
r0.57
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.90
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error31
t(b)3.91
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.41
p(a)0.66
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)0.05
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
Mean0.03
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.22
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.21
df32
t0.36
p0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.40
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.97
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.39
Sortino ratio0.25
Upside Potential Ratio1.45
Upside part of mean0.20
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms25
N negative terms8
N of observations33
Mean of predictor0.08
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.01
r0.57
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.93
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error31
t(b)3.87
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.51
p(a)0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)0.04
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.04
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.34
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.34
df724
t0.57
p0.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.84
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.52
Sortino ratio0.39
Upside Potential Ratio4.54
Upside part of mean0.50
Downside part of mean-0.45
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms418
N negative terms307
N of observations725
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.04
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.00
r0.24
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.23
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error723
t(b)6.76
p(b)0
t(a)0.26
p(a)0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.16
Treynor index (mean / b)0.18
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
Mean0.03
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.27
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.27
df724
t0.45
p0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.45
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.91
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.45
Sortino ratio0.30
Upside Potential Ratio4.38
Upside part of mean0.49
Downside part of mean-0.46
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms418
N negative terms307
N of observations725
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.24
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.23
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error723
t(b)6.64
p(b)0
t(a)0.17
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.16
Treynor index (mean / b)0.15
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.11
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.26
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.26
df130
t-0.89
p0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.52
Sortino ratio-1.34
Upside Potential Ratio2.31
Upside part of mean0.19
Downside part of mean-0.30
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms40
N negative terms91
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion-0.11
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance0.00
r0.37
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.14
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)4.54
p(b)0.27
t(a)-1.20
p(a)0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.50
Jensen alpha (a)-0.14
Mean-0.11
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.28
df130
t-0.91
p0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.49
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.05
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.50
Sortino ratio-1.36
Upside Potential Ratio2.26
Upside part of mean0.19
Downside part of mean-0.30
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms40
N negative terms91
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion-0.11
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance0.00
r0.37
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.14
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)4.53
p(b)0.27
t(a)-1.20
p(a)0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.51
Jensen alpha (a)-0.14
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations33
Minimum0.86
Quartile 11.00
Median1.01
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.90
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.18
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.12
Number of observations725
Minimum0.90
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low52
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high31
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.68
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.47
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.01
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low14
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high12
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.72
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.88
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.11
Maximum0.21
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.21
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations34
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.24
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high0.24
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.73
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.21
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.87
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.22
Number of observations8
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-30
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)490
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.07
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.31
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.31
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.73
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.07
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.26
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.21
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.03
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.08
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.08
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.92
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.62
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-7.04

Trading record

Placed 468 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
V1919S150 short1May 28, 2019Jun 10, 2019$53
COST1931Q227.5 short1Apr 24, 2019May 17, 2019$54
AAPL1921R195 short1May 1, 2019May 13, 2019($1,057)
TIF1924Q100 short1Apr 16, 2019May 3, 2019$37
W1917Q105 short1Apr 3, 2019Apr 29, 2019$71
SMH1917E122 short1Apr 16, 2019Apr 24, 2019($135)
SMH1917Q108 short1Apr 16, 2019Apr 23, 2019$43
JNJ1926P130 short1Mar 12, 2019Apr 16, 2019$60
SMH1917Q100 short1Apr 1, 2019Apr 11, 2019$51
ADSK1917Q145 short1Apr 1, 2019Apr 11, 2019$55
HD1917Q170 short1Mar 20, 2019Apr 1, 2019$42
PYPL1926P92.5 short1Mar 14, 2019Mar 27, 2019$69
XBI1926D98 short1Mar 18, 2019Mar 22, 2019$32
WYNN1918P100 short1Feb 19, 2019Mar 19, 2019$46
SMH1929O95 short1Feb 19, 2019Mar 11, 2019$50
FB1918P145 short1Mar 4, 2019Mar 11, 2019$34
DIS1918P100 short1Feb 19, 2019Mar 5, 2019$27
VXXB1921F80 long1Jan 8, 2019Feb 20, 2019($146)
SMH1915C105 short1Jan 24, 2019Feb 20, 2019($126)
VXXB1921F70 short1Jan 8, 2019Feb 20, 2019$185
SMH1922O92 short1Feb 6, 2019Feb 19, 2019$45
DRI1915O100 short1Feb 6, 2019Feb 15, 2019$28
V1915O130 short1Feb 1, 2019Feb 12, 2019$44
SMH1915O85 short1Jan 24, 2019Feb 6, 2019$90
JNJ1915O120 short1Jan 29, 2019Feb 6, 2019$39
KEYS1915O62.5 short1Jan 24, 2019Jan 31, 2019$38
IBB1915C120 short1Jan 16, 2019Jan 28, 2019$28
DLR1915N95 short1Jan 14, 2019Jan 28, 2019$23
GLD1915O115 short1Jan 3, 2019Jan 24, 2019$13
WDAY1915N125 short1Jan 4, 2019Jan 9, 2019$56

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.