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Vertical SandP

Options · Options · Started Oct 2016

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
3.4%
Max Drawdown
21.1%
Trades
56
Win Trades
44.6%
Profit Factor
1.70
Win Months
13.3%

About this strategy

The goal of VS&P is to provide a relatively steady income stream via capturing time premium and in some cases over-priced volatility premium on S&P 500 Index stock options.

We short a slightly out of the money option, and then purchase a further out of the money option in order to hedge tail-risk, collecting an up-front premium. Many times we are neutral (having sold both put and call verticals at the same time, known as an "Iron Condor" in many circles), although we will also make directional positions when the market decides to trend.

We make mechanical (systematic) timing, direction, and rolling actions in order to optimize the yield curve of the strategy. The goal is to make steady returns regardless of if the market is up/down/sideways.

Premium Collecting

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20162.00.5-1.01.5
20172.82.51.01.91.00.6-0.13.02.1-2.20.21.114.8
2018-6.0-5.07.53.40.60.9-0.2-0.2-0.20.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/13/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age122 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades56
# Profitable25
% Profitable44.6%
Avg trade duration36.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown21.1%
drawdown periodAug 27, 2017 - Feb 09, 2018
Annual Return (Compounded)3.4%
Avg win$1,312
Avg loss$635

Ratios

W:L ratio1.67
Sharpe Ratio-0.03
Sortino Ratio-0.04
Calmar Ratio0.54

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.03
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life263.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-79.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)3.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)2.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity3.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss20.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$635
Avg Win$1,312
# Winners25
Sum Trade PL (losers)$19,674
Sum Trade PL (winners)$32,792
Num Months Winners16
# Losers31
% Winners44.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table121

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)52919.35
Avg Position Time (hrs)881.99
Avg Trade Length36.80
Last Trade Ago3008

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-0.01
Treynor Index0.06

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades6.76
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)3.07
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats8.39
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats90.37
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.93
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.28
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.15

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.09
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.81
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.78
df24
t1.17
p0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.18
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.59
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.16
Sortino ratio1.42
Upside Potential Ratio2.95
Upside part of mean0.19
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms15
N negative terms10
N of observations25
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.09
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance-0.00
r-0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.13
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error23
t(b)-1.10
p(b)0.86
t(a)1.51
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.30
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.70
Jensen alpha (a)0.13
Mean0.08
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.76
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.73
df24
t1.10
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.13
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.64
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.11
Sortino ratio1.29
Upside Potential Ratio2.82
Upside part of mean0.18
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms15
N negative terms10
N of observations25
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.08
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance-0.00
r-0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error23
t(b)-1.09
p(b)0.86
t(a)1.44
p(a)0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.63
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.09
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.75
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.75
df553
t1.09
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.10
Sortino ratio1.02
Upside Potential Ratio6.43
Upside part of mean0.57
Downside part of mean-0.48
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms271
N negative terms283
N of observations554
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.09
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance-0.00
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error552
t(b)-1.01
p(b)0.84
t(a)1.17
p(a)0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.26
Treynor index (mean / b)-4.37
Jensen alpha (a)0.10
Mean0.08
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.69
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.69
df553
t1.00
p0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.04
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.66
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.04
Sortino ratio0.92
Upside Potential Ratio6.31
Upside part of mean0.57
Downside part of mean-0.48
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms271
N negative terms283
N of observations554
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.08
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance-0.00
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error552
t(b)-0.96
p(b)0.83
t(a)1.07
p(a)0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.25
Treynor index (mean / b)-4.29
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.02
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.26
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.26
df130
t0.19
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.04
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.03
Sortino ratio0.51
Upside Potential Ratio5.61
Upside part of mean0.17
Downside part of mean-0.16
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.03
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms120
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.92
Mean of criterion0.02
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance-0.00
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)-0.72
p(b)0.54
t(a)0.27
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.19
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.01
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
Mean0.01
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.23
df130
t0.17
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.01
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.01
Sortino ratio0.45
Upside Potential Ratio5.55
Upside part of mean0.17
Downside part of mean-0.16
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.03
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms120
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.81
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.49
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance-0.00
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)-0.70
p(b)0.54
t(a)0.24
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.19
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.87
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations25
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11
Median1.00
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.44
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations554
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low57
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high58
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.68
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.22
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.99
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low14
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high12
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-2.03
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.24
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.11
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations38
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.17
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high0.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.69
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.13
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.02
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.03
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-301685440
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)166
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.13
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.12
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.09
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.09
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.07
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.12
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.12
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.69
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.02
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.86
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.04
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.04
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.70
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.70
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.67

Trading record

Placed 58 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
SPY1820G300 long18Apr 24, 2018Jul 21, 2018($175)
SPY1820G281 short18Apr 24, 2018Jul 19, 2018$1,289
SPY1815F297 long18Apr 2, 2018Apr 24, 2018($169)
SPY1815F277 short18Apr 2, 2018Apr 24, 2018$389
SPY1815R222 long18Apr 12, 2018Apr 24, 2018($349)
SPY1815R243 short18Apr 12, 2018Apr 24, 2018$515
SPY1820D301 long18Feb 8, 2018Apr 21, 2018($337)
SPY1818Q220 long15Mar 22, 2018Apr 12, 2018($756)
SPY1818Q245 short15Mar 22, 2018Apr 12, 2018$1,494
SPY1820D281 short18Feb 8, 2018Apr 2, 2018$2,009
SPY1816O254 short18Jan 3, 2018Mar 17, 2018$2,237
SPY1816O234 long18Jan 3, 2018Mar 17, 2018($787)
SPY1819A285 long18Nov 16, 2017Jan 20, 2018($85)
SPY1819M244 long18Dec 1, 2017Jan 3, 2018($1,465)
SPY1819M254 short18Dec 1, 2017Jan 3, 2018$2,054
SPY1819A267 short18Nov 16, 2017Jan 3, 2018($6,685)
SPY1819M223 long18Nov 17, 2017Dec 8, 2017($583)
SPY1819M243 short18Nov 17, 2017Dec 8, 2017$1,811
SPY1717K276 long20Sep 11, 2017Nov 18, 2017($94)
SPY1717K258 short20Sep 11, 2017Nov 15, 2017($8)
SPY1717W216 long20Sep 11, 2017Nov 1, 2017($1,008)
SPY1717W234 short20Sep 11, 2017Nov 1, 2017$2,732
SPY1720V218 long21Aug 22, 2017Sep 11, 2017($596)
SPY1720V233 short21Aug 22, 2017Sep 11, 2017$1,651
SPY1720J270 long21Aug 18, 2017Sep 11, 2017($29)
SPY1720J254 short21Aug 18, 2017Sep 11, 2017($281)
SPY1720V211 long21Aug 18, 2017Aug 22, 2017($554)
SPY1720V228 short21Aug 18, 2017Aug 22, 2017$1,126
SPY1715U213 long20Jul 14, 2017Aug 18, 2017($368)
SPY1715U232 short20Jul 14, 2017Aug 18, 2017$532

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.