Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Trending Stock

Stocks · Started Sep 2016

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-0.1%
Max Drawdown
8.6%
Trades
88
Win Trades
36.4%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
4.1%

About this strategy

This signal uses a 5% allotment for each position. A total of 19 stock can be held at a time. During a bull market the portfolio will normally be 95% or more in. During a bear market it is conceivable to have a large position in cash. The market direction and strength determines the number of 5% positions held.

The stock direction determines the buy and sell. This is not an over bought over sold signal. When my scan has more than one stock triggering a buy I use fundamentals to select the best opportunity for growth.

This signal is a 100% rules based signal. All purchases and sells are based on a predetermined set of rules.

Thank You

Rick Haines

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2016-0.4-1.1-1.01.5-0.9
20170.92.6-1.11.3-5.0-1.12.7-0.00.00.00.00.00.1
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/23/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$105,000
Age122 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades88
# Profitable32
% Profitable36.4%
Avg trade duration39.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown8.6%
drawdown periodApril 17, 2017 - May 17, 2017
Annual Return (Compounded)-0.1%
Avg win$315
Avg loss$278

Ratios

W:L ratio0.99
Sharpe Ratio-0.62
Sortino Ratio-0.83
Calmar Ratio0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.05
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life253.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-261.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-0.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity5.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss13.3%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$278
Avg Win$315
# Winners32
Sum Trade PL (losers)$15,574
Sum Trade PL (winners)$10,081
Num Months Winners5
# Losers56
% Winners36.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct5384

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table122

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)56764.58
Avg Position Time (hrs)946.08
Avg Trade Length39.40
Last Trade Ago3387

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.01
Treynor Index-0.68

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-1.88
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-2.40
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats43.28
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats27.61
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.58
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.81
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.53

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.03
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.52
df25
t-0.79
p0.78
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.87
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.81
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.86
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.82
Sortino ratio-0.65
Upside Potential Ratio0.99
Upside part of mean0.04
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms21
N of observations26
Mean of predictor0.59
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance0.00
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error24
t(b)0.21
p(b)0.42
t(a)-0.78
p(a)0.78
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.94
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.55
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.54
df25
t-0.81
p0.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.89
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.79
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.88
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.80
Sortino ratio-0.66
Upside Potential Ratio0.97
Upside part of mean0.04
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms21
N of observations26
Mean of predictor0.53
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance0.00
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error24
t(b)0.23
p(b)0.41
t(a)-0.82
p(a)0.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.46
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.47
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.47
df572
t-0.70
p0.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.85
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.80
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.85
Sortino ratio-0.63
Upside Potential Ratio4.42
Upside part of mean0.18
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms103
N negative terms470
N of observations573
Mean of predictor0.61
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance0.00
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error571
t(b)1.17
p(b)0.12
t(a)-0.82
p(a)0.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.04
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.39
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.50
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.50
df572
t-0.74
p0.77
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.83
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.83
Sortino ratio-0.66
Upside Potential Ratio4.38
Upside part of mean0.18
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms103
N negative terms470
N of observations573
Mean of predictor0.55
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance0.00
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error571
t(b)1.16
p(b)0.12
t(a)-0.85
p(a)0.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.04
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.62
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.06
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.95
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6813076556873728
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.18595303747779e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations26
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.19
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations573
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low91
Percentage of outliers low0.16
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high104
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.24
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.03
Median0.04
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.06
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations10
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.08
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high0.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.26
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.09
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.88
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-555726080
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)30
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.00
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.00
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 178 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
NRZ long3052Feb 17, 2017Jul 3, 2017($3,282)
MORT long212Mar 27, 2017Jul 3, 2017$191
CIM long2617Mar 20, 2017Jul 3, 2017($2,189)
RENX long309Feb 3, 2017Jun 29, 2017$1,057
SYT long61Mar 7, 2017May 24, 2017$338
GBDC long284Jan 6, 2017May 10, 2017$307
MSGN long232Mar 10, 2017May 3, 2017$157
NVGS long378Mar 6, 2017Apr 24, 2017($424)
COL long26Apr 17, 2017Apr 17, 2017($2)
ING long348Mar 10, 2017Apr 12, 2017($251)
ABT long55Jan 6, 2017Mar 27, 2017$265
GWB long121Mar 2, 2017Mar 24, 2017($405)
NTB long155Mar 8, 2017Mar 23, 2017($439)
FLT long34Jan 17, 2017Mar 17, 2017$475
OKE long94Mar 7, 2017Mar 15, 2017($378)
SFBS long138Jan 25, 2017Mar 14, 2017$157
KRC long69Jan 26, 2017Mar 13, 2017($336)
VMW long64Jan 13, 2017Mar 10, 2017$512
TSM long174Jan 23, 2017Mar 9, 2017$107
IPHI long111Feb 2, 2017Mar 7, 2017($152)
TGP long317Jan 19, 2017Mar 6, 2017$628
ESNT long155Jan 26, 2017Mar 6, 2017$157
MTG long480Feb 2, 2017Mar 3, 2017($140)
BYD long249Feb 3, 2017Mar 1, 2017($309)
NMFC long365Jan 5, 2017Feb 2, 2017($135)
STOR long210Jan 3, 2017Feb 1, 2017($271)
PLD long99Jan 24, 2017Jan 25, 2017($136)
RWT long331Jan 12, 2017Jan 20, 2017($163)
MS long119Jan 17, 2017Jan 18, 2017($188)
STJ long64Jan 3, 2017Jan 6, 2017$26

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.