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Optiomus

Options · Started Aug 2016

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-12.9%
Max Drawdown
20.7%
Trades
51
Win Trades
82.4%
Profit Factor
4.10
Win Months
37.2%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2016-0.22.2-7.51.1-13.2-17.3
20173.7-1.1-3.12.43.0-2.3-5.50.70.110.7-1.27.514.5
20186.610.7-6.32.58.217.7-19.26.0-10.56.50.4-7.19.8
20199.4-4.94.90.00.011.21.6-18.50.22.96.3
20202.3-0.0-17.511.68.3-6.313.56.66.85.6-3.211.841.0
2021-2.532.8-16.25.2-8.913.41.2-6.84.4-15.1-13.90.9-14.4
2022-14.21.66.517.9-13.0-1.52.7-0.71.118.90.50.015.4
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began8/12/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age124 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades51
# Profitable42
% Profitable82.4%
Avg trade duration56.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown20.7%
drawdown periodSept 29, 2016 - April 13, 2017
Annual Return (Compounded)-12.9%
Avg win$215
Avg loss$245

Ratios

W:L ratio4.10
Sharpe Ratio0.18
Sortino Ratio0.26
Calmar Ratio0.68

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.31
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life249.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-24.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-12.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)5.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity31.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.6%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$245
Avg Win$215
# Winners42
Sum Trade PL (losers)$2,201
Sum Trade PL (winners)$9,024
Num Months Winners45
# Losers9
% Winners82.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table123

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)81846.38
Avg Position Time (hrs)1364.11
Avg Trade Length56.80
Last Trade Ago1456

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.43
Treynor Index0.03

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.07
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-15.56
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.43
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats35.79
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats62.95
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.82
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.19
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.06

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.07
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.38
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.35
df11
t-0.38
p0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.60
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.32
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.62
Sortino ratio-0.55
Upside Potential Ratio1.63
Upside part of mean0.22
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms9
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion-0.07
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.00
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.08
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error10
t(b)0.12
p(b)0.45
t(a)-0.38
p(a)0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.95
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.75
Jensen alpha (a)-0.08
Mean-0.09
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.47
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.44
df11
t-0.47
p0.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.41
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.53
Sortino ratio-0.66
Upside Potential Ratio1.52
Upside part of mean0.21
Downside part of mean-0.30
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms9
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.10
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error10
t(b)0.08
p(b)0.47
t(a)-0.45
p(a)0.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.91
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.39
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.47
Jensen alpha (a)-0.10
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
Mean-0.08
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.64
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.64
df265
t-0.64
p0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.31
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.58
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.31
Sortino ratio-0.81
Upside Potential Ratio6.04
Upside part of mean0.62
Downside part of mean-0.70
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms134
N negative terms132
N of observations266
Mean of predictor0.08
Mean of criterion-0.08
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.24
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.38
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error264
t(b)4.07
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.90
p(a)0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.22
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
Mean-0.09
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.70
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.70
df265
t-0.70
p0.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.25
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.64
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.25
Sortino ratio-0.88
Upside Potential Ratio5.93
Upside part of mean0.61
Downside part of mean-0.71
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms134
N negative terms132
N of observations266
Mean of predictor0.08
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.24
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.38
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.12
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error264
t(b)4.04
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.95
p(a)0.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.24
Jensen alpha (a)-0.12
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.02
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.23
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.23
df130
t-0.16
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.55
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.55
Sortino ratio-0.30
Upside Potential Ratio6.30
Upside part of mean0.50
Downside part of mean-0.52
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms63
N negative terms68
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.04
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.00
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)2.16
p(b)0.38
t(a)-0.23
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.26
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.09
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.28
df130
t-0.20
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.50
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.05
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.50
Sortino ratio-0.36
Upside Potential Ratio6.19
Upside part of mean0.50
Downside part of mean-0.53
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms63
N negative terms68
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.04
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance0.00
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)2.16
p(b)0.38
t(a)-0.26
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.25
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.11
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations12
Minimum0.92
Quartile 10.95
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.11
Mean of quarter 10.93
Mean of quarter 20.98
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.08
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-18.65
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-2.05
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Number of observations266
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low17
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high16
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.53
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.32
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.57
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.86
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.05
Quartile 10.06
Median0.07
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.10
Mean of quarter 10.05
Mean of quarter 20.07
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.15
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.08
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.15
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.04
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)196
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.60
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.60
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.53
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.40
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.73
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-3.64
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.01
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.01
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.10

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
TWTR long200Oct 29, 2016Oct 27, 2022$6,836
TWTR1717C18 short2Jan 24, 2017Mar 18, 2017$117
VXX1724C23 short1Feb 7, 2017Feb 21, 2017$41
GLD1724C121.5 short1Feb 7, 2017Feb 21, 2017$56
GLD1724O112 short1Feb 7, 2017Feb 16, 2017$24
TLT1703O116.5 short1Jan 17, 2017Feb 8, 2017$29
GLD1703O110 short2Jan 18, 2017Feb 2, 2017$50
TWTR1717B19 short2Jan 23, 2017Jan 24, 2017$3
DE1717N95 short1Jan 4, 2017Jan 23, 2017$42
TWTR1703B19 short2Jan 16, 2017Jan 19, 2017$19
GDXJ1724N29 short2Jan 11, 2017Jan 18, 2017$59
TWTR1713A17.5 short2Jan 2, 2017Jan 14, 2017$29
LULU1717N55 short1Jan 2, 2017Jan 4, 2017$29
SPY1727M218 short1Dec 16, 2016Jan 4, 2017$76
AET1720M115 short1Nov 30, 2016Dec 27, 2016$67
TLT1720M114 short1Nov 30, 2016Dec 21, 2016$46
LULU1609L62 short1Nov 18, 2016Dec 8, 2016($703)
TWTR1720A20 short2Nov 23, 2016Dec 7, 2016$75
HP1616L72.5 short1Nov 29, 2016Dec 1, 2016($667)
PEP1623X100 short1Nov 11, 2016Nov 28, 2016$61
TWTR1616L20 short2Oct 31, 2016Nov 23, 2016$77
SPY1630X208 short1Nov 18, 2016Nov 18, 2016($1)
SPY1616X200 short1Nov 9, 2016Nov 15, 2016$42
XLU1616X47 short1Oct 31, 2016Nov 11, 2016($122)
NVDA1618W62 short1Nov 10, 2016Nov 11, 2016$65
M1625W34 short1Nov 3, 2016Nov 9, 2016$26
AAL1625W38 short1Oct 31, 2016Nov 8, 2016$28
SVXY1616X35 short1Oct 14, 2016Oct 24, 2016$28
SVXY1616X35 long1Oct 14, 2016Oct 14, 2016($17)
YUM1614J96 short1Oct 5, 2016Oct 6, 2016$40

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.