TQQQ Bold Edge
(155252448)
Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $29.00 per month.
C2Star
C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.
You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.
Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.
Trend-following
Tries to take advantage of long, medium or short-term moves that seem to play out in various markets. Typically, trend-following analysis is backward looking; that is, it attempts to recognize and profit from already-established trends.Momentum
Aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. Trader takes a long position in an asset in an upward trend, and short-sells a security that has been in a downward trend. While similar to Trend-following, tends to be more forward-looking (predicting oncoming trend), while Momentum is more backward-looking (observing already-established price direction).Rate of Return Calculations
Overview
To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.
How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated
= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity
Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.
All results are hypothetical.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.9% | +52.4% | +33.1% | (18.1%) | +67.6% |
Model Account Details
A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.
Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.
| Started | $25,000 | |
| Buy Power | $16,369 | |
| Cash | $1 | |
| Equity | $1 | |
| Cumulative $ | $16,991 | |
| Total System Equity | $41,991 | |
| Margined | $1 | |
| Open P/L | $1,125 | |
| Data has been delayed by 168 hours for non-subscribers | ||
System developer has asked us to delay this information by 168 hours.
Trading Record
Statistics
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Strategy began3/26/2026
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Suggested Minimum Cap$15,000
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Strategy Age (days)76.66
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Age77 days ago
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What it tradesStocks
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# Trades2
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# Profitable1
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% Profitable50.00%
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Avg trade duration38.3 days
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Max peak-to-valley drawdown20.59%
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drawdown periodJune 03, 2026 - June 10, 2026
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Cumul. Return67.6%
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Avg win$26,327
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Avg loss$9,335
- Model Account Values (Raw)
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Cash$12,894
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Margin Used($12,811)
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Buying Power$16,369
- Ratios
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W:L ratio2.82:1
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Sharpe Ratio4.38
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Sortino Ratio6.96
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Calmar Ratio53.871
- CORRELATION STATISTICS
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Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)55.37%
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Correlation to SP5000.77530
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Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life12.19%
- Return Statistics
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Ann Return (w trading costs)964.7%
- Slump
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Current Slump as Pcnt Equity25.90%
- Return Statistics
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Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.676%
- Instruments
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Percent Trades Optionsn/a
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Percent Trades Futuresn/a
- Slump
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Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.11%
- Instruments
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Percent Trades Stocks1.00%
- Return Statistics
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Return Pcnt Since TOS Statusn/a
- Instruments
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Short Options - Percent Covered100.00%
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Percent Trades Forexn/a
- Return Statistics
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Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1044.2%
- Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
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Chance of 10% account loss11.00%
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Chance of 20% account lossn/a
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Chance of 30% account lossn/a
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Chance of 40% account lossn/a
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Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)n/a
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Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)n/a
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Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)n/a
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Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)n/a
- Automation
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Percentage Signals Automatedn/a
- Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
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Chance of 50% account lossn/a
- Popularity
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Popularity (Today)600
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Popularity (Last 6 weeks)925
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Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)842
- Trading Style
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Any stock shorts? 0/10
- Popularity
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C2 Score919
- Trades-Own-System Certification
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Trades Own System?-
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TOS percentn/a
- Win / Loss
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Avg Win$26,327
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Avg Loss$9,335
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Sum Trade PL (losers)$9,335.000
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# Winners1
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Num Months Winners3
- Age
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Num Months filled monthly returns table4
- Win / Loss
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Sum Trade PL (winners)$26,327.000
- Dividends
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Dividends Received in Model Acct0
- Win / Loss
-
# Losers1
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% Winners50.0%
- Frequency
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Avg Position Time (mins)55189.60
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Avg Position Time (hrs)919.83
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Avg Trade Length38.3 days
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Last Trade Ago13
- Leverage
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Daily leverage (average)2.25
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Daily leverage (max)3.48
- Regression
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Alpha0.32
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Beta2.59
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Treynor Index0.27
- Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
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MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.17
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MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat-
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MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat-
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MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)-
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MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy-
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MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)-
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MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.53
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Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades0.786
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MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.23
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MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.10
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MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.23
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Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.091
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Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.141
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Hold-and-Hope Ratio1.285
- Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
- RATIO STATISTICS
- Ratio statistics of excess return rates
- Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
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a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.21000
- Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
- Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
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VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03800
- DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
- Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
- assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
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Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-385146000
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Max Equity Drawdown (num days)7
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Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.25%
Strategy Description
TQQQ Bold Edge seeks aggressive long-term capital appreciation through high-conviction allocation to TQQQ, with tactical rotation to defensive assets during adverse market regimes, driven by momentum and trend-following signals.
Strategy Highlights
• No discretionary overrides — purely systematic execution
• No martingale, grid trading, or loss-chasing position sizing
• Fully transparent ETF-only portfolio — no OTC derivatives or illiquid instruments
• IRA-compatible — no short selling or intentional portfolio-level margin usage
• Backtested across decades of diverse market environments
Instrument Universe
• 3x leveraged equities: TQQQ (Nasdaq-100)
• Defensive assets: IAU (Gold), SGOV (Short-term Treasuries)
How It Works
The strategy maintains a high-conviction allocation to TQQQ during favorable market conditions and rotates to defensive assets when trend signals weaken or drawdown risk increases.
A proprietary multi-signal framework combines momentum, trend persistence, and drawdown control mechanisms. This design enables participation in sustained bull markets while reducing exposure during adverse regimes.
Every trade is generated by a data-driven algorithm with no discretionary overrides, ensuring consistent execution of the long-term model.
Rebalancing
Monthly. Positions are reviewed and adjusted at the end of each calendar month. Intra-month rebalancing may be triggered by material price movements or accelerating drawdowns.
All trades are placed approximately 2-4 minutes before market close, providing AutoTrade subscribers sufficient time to execute at near-closing prices.
Leverage & Margin
The strategy utilizes embedded 3x leverage through the selected ETF (TQQQ). It does not intentionally employ additional portfolio-level margin. Temporary margin usage may occur solely due to timing differences between signal generation and order execution.
IRA-Compatible Structure
Designed with features common to IRA-eligible strategies:
• Long-only positions — no short selling
• No intentional portfolio-level margin beyond embedded TQQQ leverage
• Uses liquid exchange-traded instruments
Please check with your broker or tax advisor before subscribing to ensure the strategy is compatible with your specific account type.
Strategy Backtest
Backtested using proxy data since the mid-1990s across multiple market cycles — including the dot-com bust, the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, the COVID crash, and the 2022 bear market — the model has demonstrated compounded growth with peak-to-trough drawdowns in line with those outlined in the Investor Suitability section below.
Past backtest performance does not guarantee future results.
Investor Suitability
This strategy is suitable for aggressive investors who accept historical peak-to-trough drawdowns of 60% or more, maintain a minimum 6-year investment horizon, and understand the mechanics of leveraged ETFs. Not suitable for capital required within 1–5 years or investors sensitive to short-term portfolio volatility.
Founder's Launch Phase
The TQQQ Bold Edge strategy is currently in the initial launch phase on Collective2. A founding rate of $29/month is available for the first 20 subscribers. This rate is intended to remain locked for early adopters as the strategy builds its live track record and the subscription fee increases over time.
Latest Activity
Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.
Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.
Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.
About the results you see on this Web site
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.
In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.
Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results
The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.
- Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
- Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
- All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
- "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.
Trading is risky
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
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Suggested Minimum Capital
This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.