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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more
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ORION AI Model
(152325376)

Created by: SparkTrade SparkTrade
Started: 07/2025
Stocks
Last trade: Today
Trading style: Equity Non-hedged Equity

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $49.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Equity
Non-hedged Equity
Category: Equity

Non-hedged Equity

Predominantly long equities, although some hedging with short sales of stocks and/or stock index options. Commonly known as "stock-pickers."
28.9%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(21.9%)
Max Drawdown
1160
Num Trades
60.6%
Win Trades
1.3 : 1
Profit Factor
69.2%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025                                          +0.2%+17.6%(0.4%)+1.4%+4.2%+1.0%+25.1%
2026(2%)+1.2%(12.1%)+5.1%(10.7%)+5.3%+19.5%                              +3.0%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 6 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. The most recent trade in a real-money brokerage account occurred more than 206 days ago.

Show AutoTrade data Hide AutoTrade data
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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
7/10/26 9:30 EVH EVOLENT HEALTH INC LONG 570 5.67 7/13 9:30 5.90 n/a $126
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
7/10/26 9:30 HLX HELIX ENERGY SOLUTIONS LONG 353 8.95 7/13 9:30 9.31 n/a $120
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.06
7/8/26 9:30 EFOR EVERFORTH INC LONG 176 18.13 7/13 9:30 18.09 0.33%
Trade id #156832421
Max drawdown($185)
Time7/9/26 0:00
Quant open169
Worst price17.02
Drawdown as % of equity-0.33%
 ($12)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.52
7/6/26 9:34 HELE HELEN OF TROY LONG 124 27.95 7/10 9:30 27.53 0.62%
Trade id #156803271
Max drawdown($345)
Time7/8/26 0:00
Quant open111
Worst price25.13
Drawdown as % of equity-0.62%
 ($54)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.48
7/9/26 9:30 UPWK UPWORK INC. COMMON STOCK LONG 365 8.28 7/10 9:30 8.91 n/a $223
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.30
6/30/26 9:31 NVAX NOVAVAX LONG 340 9.33 7/10 9:30 9.38 0.26%
Trade id #156748079
Max drawdown($141)
Time7/7/26 0:00
Quant open318
Worst price8.88
Drawdown as % of equity-0.26%
 $10
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.80
7/8/26 9:30 CROX CROCS LONG 25 122.45 7/10 9:30 127.98 0.12%
Trade id #156832429
Max drawdown($67)
Time7/8/26 11:38
Quant open25
Worst price119.74
Drawdown as % of equity-0.12%
 $138
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.50
7/8/26 9:30 BBW BUILD-A-BEAR WORKSHOP LONG 104 29.57 7/10 9:30 31.77 0.04%
Trade id #156832427
Max drawdown($22)
Time7/8/26 11:29
Quant open104
Worst price29.35
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
 $227
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.08
7/8/26 9:30 HST HOST HOTELS & RESORTS LONG 133 23.42 7/9 9:30 22.69 0.19%
Trade id #156832433
Max drawdown($104)
Time7/8/26 14:38
Quant open133
Worst price22.64
Drawdown as % of equity-0.19%
 ($100)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.66
6/29/26 9:30 HLX HELIX ENERGY SOLUTIONS LONG 362 8.88 7/9 9:30 9.06 0.27%
Trade id #156731772
Max drawdown($147)
Time7/2/26 0:00
Quant open348
Worst price8.46
Drawdown as % of equity-0.27%
 $57
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.24
7/7/26 9:30 KEX KIRBY LONG 23 132.10 7/9 9:30 108.61 0.03%
Trade id #156815955
Max drawdown($15)
Time7/7/26 10:44
Quant open23
Worst price131.41
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 ($540)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.46
7/8/26 9:30 EVH EVOLENT HEALTH INC LONG 569 5.30 7/9 9:30 5.59 n/a $163
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
7/7/26 9:30 PAA PLAINS ALL AMERICAN LONG 138 22.30 7/8 9:30 22.95 n/a $87
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.76
7/2/26 9:30 EPD ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS LONG 84 36.58 7/8 9:30 37.57 0.02%
Trade id #156776171
Max drawdown($13)
Time7/6/26 0:00
Quant open84
Worst price36.42
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
 $81
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.68
7/6/26 9:34 EOG EOG RESOURCES LONG 23 129.78 7/8 9:30 136.62 0.03%
Trade id #156803287
Max drawdown($16)
Time7/6/26 15:13
Quant open23
Worst price129.07
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 $157
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.46
7/7/26 9:30 PAGP PLAINS GP HOLDINGS LP LONG 127 24.33 7/8 9:30 24.94 n/a $74
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.54
7/6/26 9:34 OXY OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM LONG 63 48.71 7/8 9:30 52.90 n/a $263
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.26
7/6/26 9:34 LXU LSB INDUSTRIES LONG 291 10.49 7/7 9:32 10.84 0.01%
Trade id #156803281
Max drawdown($5)
Time7/6/26 9:41
Quant open291
Worst price10.47
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
 $96
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.82
6/29/26 9:34 EFOR EVERFORTH INC LONG 175 19.53 7/7 9:30 17.98 0.81%
Trade id #156732290
Max drawdown($439)
Time7/2/26 0:00
Quant open170
Worst price17.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.81%
 ($276)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.50
7/6/26 9:34 MATV MATIV HOLDINGS INC LONG 429 7.22 7/7 9:30 7.54 0.11%
Trade id #156803265
Max drawdown($60)
Time7/6/26 9:40
Quant open429
Worst price7.08
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
 $128
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.58
7/6/26 9:34 HPK HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC. COMMON STOCK LONG 462 6.68 7/7 9:30 6.50 0.18%
Trade id #156803275
Max drawdown($101)
Time7/6/26 15:59
Quant open462
Worst price6.46
Drawdown as % of equity-0.18%
 ($92)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $9.24
7/2/26 9:30 PAA PLAINS ALL AMERICAN LONG 137 22.30 7/6 9:38 22.32 0.03%
Trade id #156776176
Max drawdown($16)
Time7/2/26 12:05
Quant open137
Worst price22.18
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 $0
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.74
7/2/26 9:30 ZTS ZOETIS INC LONG 42 73.28 7/6 9:34 75.06 0.03%
Trade id #156776175
Max drawdown($15)
Time7/2/26 9:50
Quant open42
Worst price72.90
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 $74
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.84
7/1/26 9:31 DUK DUKE ENERGY LONG 24 126.58 7/6 9:34 129.17 0.06%
Trade id #156762773
Max drawdown($32)
Time7/1/26 15:42
Quant open24
Worst price125.23
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
 $62
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.48
7/2/26 9:30 PAGP PLAINS GP HOLDINGS LP LONG 127 24.30 7/6 9:34 24.43 0.04%
Trade id #156776190
Max drawdown($24)
Time7/2/26 11:49
Quant open127
Worst price24.11
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
 $14
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.54
6/30/26 9:31 G GENPACT LONG 110 27.51 7/6 9:34 29.35 0.13%
Trade id #156748078
Max drawdown($70)
Time6/30/26 11:08
Quant open108
Worst price26.85
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
 $200
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.20
7/1/26 9:31 CROX CROCS LONG 25 121.58 7/2 9:30 124.26 0.07%
Trade id #156762783
Max drawdown($37)
Time7/1/26 9:34
Quant open25
Worst price120.09
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
 $67
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.50
7/1/26 9:31 KFRC KFORCE LONG 64 47.25 7/2 9:30 50.76 n/a $224
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.28
7/1/26 9:31 KODK EASTMAN KODAK COMPANY LONG 329 9.25 7/2 9:30 9.22 0.03%
Trade id #156762771
Max drawdown($14)
Time7/2/26 9:30
Quant open329
Worst price9.21
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 ($17)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.58
6/29/26 9:30 CODI COMPASS DIVERSIFIED LONG 297 10.41 7/2 9:30 11.57 0.23%
Trade id #156731718
Max drawdown($125)
Time6/30/26 0:00
Quant open292
Worst price9.98
Drawdown as % of equity-0.23%
 $338
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.94

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    7/15/2025
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $15,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    363.23
  • Age
    12 months ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    1160
  • # Profitable
    703
  • % Profitable
    60.60%
  • Avg trade duration
    6.8 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    21.85%
  • drawdown period
    Dec 18, 2025 - May 14, 2026
  • Cumul. Return
    28.8%
  • Avg win
    $109.22
  • Avg loss
    $128.27
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $32,583
  • Margin Used
    ($32,044)
  • Buying Power
    $65,275
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.33:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    1.02
  • Sortino Ratio
    1.56
  • Calmar Ratio
    3.541
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    8.49%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.37710
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    20.37%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    28.7%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    0.80%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.288%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    1.00%
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    37.3%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    13.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    100.00%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    339
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    931
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    373
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $129
  • Avg Win
    $109
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $58,949.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    13
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $76,863.000
  • # Winners
    703
  • Num Months Winners
    9
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    706
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    457
  • % Winners
    60.6%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    9800.77
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    163.35
  • Avg Trade Length
    6.8 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    1
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    1.10
  • Daily leverage (max)
    1.80
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.04
  • Beta
    0.58
  • Treynor Index
    0.13
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.00
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.06
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    26.660
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.608
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.438
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.033
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.25310
  • SD
    0.24130
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.04892
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.91112
  • df
    6.00000
  • t
    0.80113
  • p
    0.22680
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.62246
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.63944
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.70634
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.52858
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.22503
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    4.32175
  • Upside part of mean
    0.49161
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.23851
  • Upside SD
    0.20568
  • Downside SD
    0.11375
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    3.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    7.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.29243
  • Mean of criterion
    0.25310
  • SD of predictor
    0.06621
  • SD of criterion
    0.24130
  • Covariance
    -0.00477
  • r
    -0.29885
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -1.08910
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.57159
  • Mean Square Error
    0.06363
  • DF error
    5.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.70024
  • p(b)
    0.74249
  • t(a)
    1.01690
  • p(a)
    0.17793
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -5.08738
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.90918
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.87338
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.01657
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.23240
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.57159
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.22605
  • SD
    0.23598
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.95792
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.83207
  • df
    6.00000
  • t
    0.73162
  • p
    0.24599
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.69959
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.54102
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.77695
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.44109
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.92949
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    4.01795
  • Upside part of mean
    0.47072
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.24467
  • Upside SD
    0.19561
  • Downside SD
    0.11715
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    3.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    7.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.28649
  • Mean of criterion
    0.22605
  • SD of predictor
    0.06430
  • SD of criterion
    0.23598
  • Covariance
    -0.00473
  • r
    -0.31142
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -1.14297
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.55350
  • Mean Square Error
    0.06034
  • DF error
    5.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.73281
  • p(b)
    0.75171
  • t(a)
    1.00534
  • p(a)
    0.18044
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -5.15254
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.86659
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.86181
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.96881
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.19777
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.55350
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.08900
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.11428
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.04263
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.07389
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    7.00000
  • Minimum
    0.92902
  • Quartile 1
    0.96942
  • Median
    1.04522
  • Quartile 3
    1.06132
  • Maximum
    1.12823
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.94825
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00829
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.05756
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.09665
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.09190
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    2.00000
  • Minimum
    0.03252
  • Quartile 1
    0.04879
  • Median
    0.06506
  • Quartile 3
    0.08132
  • Maximum
    0.09759
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.03252
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.09759
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.03253
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.27373
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.28911
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    2.96251
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    2.96251
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    2.52975
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.49377
  • SD
    0.23565
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.09537
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.08600
  • df
    168.00000
  • t
    1.68288
  • p
    0.43562
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.35826
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.54291
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.36453
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.53654
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.48946
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.44840
  • Upside part of mean
    1.47848
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.98471
  • Upside SD
    0.19002
  • Downside SD
    0.14150
  • N nonnegative terms
    94.00000
  • N negative terms
    75.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    169.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.27252
  • Mean of criterion
    0.49377
  • SD of predictor
    0.16214
  • SD of criterion
    0.23565
  • Covariance
    0.01286
  • r
    0.33669
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.48931
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.36000
  • Mean Square Error
    0.04953
  • DF error
    167.00000
  • t(b)
    4.62073
  • p(b)
    0.28978
  • t(a)
    1.29368
  • p(a)
    0.43669
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.28025
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.69838
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.18961
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.91045
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.00910
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.36042
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.46598
  • SD
    0.23378
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.99322
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.98431
  • df
    168.00000
  • t
    1.60084
  • p
    0.43871
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.45935
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.43997
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.46526
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.43388
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.22671
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.11580
  • Upside part of mean
    1.46088
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.99489
  • Upside SD
    0.18522
  • Downside SD
    0.14441
  • N nonnegative terms
    94.00000
  • N negative terms
    75.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    169.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.25946
  • Mean of criterion
    0.46598
  • SD of predictor
    0.16060
  • SD of criterion
    0.23378
  • Covariance
    0.01294
  • r
    0.34453
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.50153
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.33586
  • Mean Square Error
    0.04846
  • DF error
    167.00000
  • t(b)
    4.74272
  • p(b)
    0.28508
  • t(a)
    1.21929
  • p(a)
    0.44029
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.29276
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.71030
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.20796
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.87968
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.92913
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.33586
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02174
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02761
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00791
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01665
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    169.00000
  • Minimum
    0.92915
  • Quartile 1
    0.99531
  • Median
    1.00132
  • Quartile 3
    1.00829
  • Maximum
    1.09852
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98686
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99871
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00476
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01800
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01298
  • Number outliers low
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.02367
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.95964
  • Number of outliers high
    5.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.02959
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.04529
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.06865
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01156
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01642
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.31180
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01279
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02205
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    15.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00020
  • Quartile 1
    0.00227
  • Median
    0.00512
  • Quartile 3
    0.03418
  • Maximum
    0.18038
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00097
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00415
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.01459
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.09232
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.03191
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.13333
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.13542
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.04453
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.09325
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.13137
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.93785
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.14788
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    2.15437
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.58163
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.63868
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.54066
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    6.91846
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    23.13140
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.28745
  • SD
    0.24894
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.15469
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.14802
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.81649
  • p
    0.46429
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.62284
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.92788
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.62730
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.92333
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.85391
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.99906
  • Upside part of mean
    1.39533
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.10788
  • Upside SD
    0.19436
  • Downside SD
    0.15505
  • N nonnegative terms
    70.00000
  • N negative terms
    61.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.28349
  • Mean of criterion
    0.28745
  • SD of predictor
    0.17649
  • SD of criterion
    0.24894
  • Covariance
    0.01365
  • r
    0.31077
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.43835
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.16318
  • Mean Square Error
    0.05642
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    3.71350
  • p(b)
    0.30539
  • t(a)
    0.48338
  • p(a)
    0.47294
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.20480
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.67190
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.50474
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.83111
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.65576
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.16318
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.25689
  • SD
    0.24686
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.04066
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.03464
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.73586
  • p
    0.46780
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.73597
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.81342
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.74001
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.80930
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.62182
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.69333
  • Upside part of mean
    1.37702
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.12012
  • Upside SD
    0.18877
  • Downside SD
    0.15840
  • N nonnegative terms
    70.00000
  • N negative terms
    61.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.26808
  • Mean of criterion
    0.25689
  • SD of predictor
    0.17468
  • SD of criterion
    0.24686
  • Covariance
    0.01376
  • r
    0.31906
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.45089
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.13602
  • Mean Square Error
    0.05516
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    3.82367
  • p(b)
    0.30038
  • t(a)
    0.40768
  • p(a)
    0.47717
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.02200
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.21758
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.68420
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.52410
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.79614
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.56974
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.13602
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02382
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03000
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00921
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01906
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.92915
  • Quartile 1
    0.99395
  • Median
    1.00081
  • Quartile 3
    1.00740
  • Maximum
    1.09852
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98552
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99796
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00410
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01732
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01345
  • Number outliers low
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.03053
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.95964
  • Number of outliers high
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.03053
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.04906
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.31625
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01498
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02532
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.59180
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01414
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.03296
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    9.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00020
  • Quartile 1
    0.00450
  • Median
    0.00552
  • Quartile 3
    0.04429
  • Maximum
    0.18038
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00224
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00532
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.03418
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.13542
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.03979
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.11111
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.18038
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -3.14973
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.10554
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.10596
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.03783
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.20670
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.25%
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.29111
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -363497000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    147
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.30608
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.32950
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    1.82664
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    2.43318
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    10.98240

Strategy Description

SparkTrade.io is an AI-powered platform that provides stock predictions and investment strategies for institutional investors and hedge funds. SparkTrade utilizes advanced machine learning techniques to analyze extensive financial data, offering daily long and short prediction scores for individual equities and sectors. These scores are designed to help investors identify equities that are poised for a reversal or catch-up trade. SparkTrade prediction scores are used to assist in position sizing, trading around a position, and uncovering opportunities to assist in portfolio optimization and risk management.

This model in particular is our ORION AI Model. On each trading day, this strategy takes SparkTrade's Top 21 Long Prediction scores for all of the 2,500+ US equities our model covers, dividing the principle equally amongst them to allocate the same dollar amount of investment into each stock for that day. Any stocks that remain amongst our Top 21 Long Predictions day-to-day are carried over and allocated their portion of any total profits gained in the previous trading session, increasing the position size. This model does not switch regimes based on volatility, and only enters into long positions.

Be sure to check out our other SparkTrade.io strategies found here on C2, including the RAPTOR AI (All Vol Long Monthly Top 21), CORTEX AI (Regime-switching Long Daily Top 21), and SYNAPSE AI (Regime-switching Top 55 Long / Top 21 Short Daily) models to see which one fits your risk tolerance and overall portfolio strategy best.
Trade this strategy at Tradier

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2025-07-15
Suggested Minimum Capital
$15,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 6.9%
Rank # 
#47
# Trades
1160
# Profitable
703
% Profitable
60.6%
Net Dividends
$705
Correlation S&P500
0.377
Sharpe Ratio
1.02
Sortino Ratio
1.56
Beta
0.58
Alpha
0.04
Leverage
1.10 Average
1.80 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.