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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

The ACE
(127764619)

Created by: D_Financial D_Financial
Started: 02/2020
Stocks
Last trade: 3 days ago
Trading style: Equity Momentum Sector Rotation

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $195.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Equity
Momentum
Category: Equity

Momentum

Aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. Trader takes a long position in an asset in an upward trend, and short-sells a security that has been in a downward trend. While similar to Trend-following, tends to be more forward-looking (predicting oncoming trend), while Momentum is more backward-looking (observing already-established price direction).
Sector Rotation
Category: Equity

Sector Rotation

Uses the proceeds from the sale of securities related to a particular investment sector for the purchase of securities in another sector. This strategy is used as a method for capturing returns from market cycles and diversifying holdings over a specified holding period.
41.4%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(19.8%)
Max Drawdown
352
Num Trades
58.2%
Win Trades
2.1 : 1
Profit Factor
66.7%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2020       +3.4%+5.3%+16.9%+18.5%+7.8%+4.2%+5.7%+2.1%(3.1%)+18.7%+7.0%+125.0%
2021+5.4%  -  +0.4%+7.6%+0.7%+2.2%(2.3%)+6.7%(4.7%)+7.6%(3.8%)(1.4%)+18.8%
2022(9.8%)+3.7%+2.6%(1.3%)+0.9%(4.5%)+5.1%(2.5%)(1.5%)+0.2%            (7.5%)

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 48 hours.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 1,653 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
9/27/22 9:34 UUP INVESCO DB USD INDEX BULLISH FUND ETF LONG 3,250 30.57 10/3 15:28 30.03 1.59%
Trade id #141941926
Max drawdown($1,968)
Time10/3/22 11:17
Quant open3,250
Worst price29.96
Drawdown as % of equity-1.59%
($1,762)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
8/23/22 9:56 UUP INVESCO DB USD INDEX BULLISH FUND ETF LONG 3,614 29.05 9/20 9:46 29.50 0.48%
Trade id #141506661
Max drawdown($623)
Time8/26/22 0:00
Quant open2,695
Worst price28.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.48%
$1,603
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.01
8/23/22 9:56 UPRO PROSHARES ULTRAPRO S&P 500 LONG 642 45.15 8/29 15:55 41.30 2.25%
Trade id #141506655
Max drawdown($2,843)
Time8/29/22 10:56
Quant open642
Worst price40.73
Drawdown as % of equity-2.25%
($2,478)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
8/16/22 10:11 IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX LONG 30 199.79 8/23 9:55 192.22 0.22%
Trade id #141432183
Max drawdown($293)
Time8/22/22 0:00
Quant open30
Worst price190.01
Drawdown as % of equity-0.22%
($228)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.60
8/8/22 15:23 SPY SPDR S&P 500 LONG 250 412.97 8/23 9:55 415.02 0.53%
Trade id #141341688
Max drawdown($687)
Time8/9/22 0:00
Quant open250
Worst price410.22
Drawdown as % of equity-0.53%
$507
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
8/5/22 9:33 UUP INVESCO DB USD INDEX BULLISH FUND ETF LONG 400 28.55 8/10 10:29 28.24 0.06%
Trade id #141315082
Max drawdown($78)
Time8/9/22 0:00
Quant open400
Worst price28.35
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
($132)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
8/5/22 9:34 TLT ISHARES 20+ YEAR TREASURY BOND LONG 50 116.89 8/9 9:31 117.77 0.04%
Trade id #141315120
Max drawdown($49)
Time8/5/22 11:42
Quant open50
Worst price115.89
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$43
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.00
2/26/21 13:27 CURE DIREXION DAILY HEALTHCARE BULL LONG 115 95.82 8/8/22 9:34 113.16 0.27%
Trade id #134314836
Max drawdown($322)
Time3/4/21 0:00
Quant open45
Worst price69.19
Drawdown as % of equity-0.27%
$1,992
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.30
3/3/22 10:20 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 335 43.16 8/8 9:34 37.43 5.24%
Trade id #139629144
Max drawdown($6,379)
Time6/16/22 0:00
Quant open267
Worst price21.32
Drawdown as % of equity-5.24%
($1,929)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.70
4/4/22 11:34 FAS DIREXION DAILY FINANCIAL BULL LONG 50 100.16 8/5 9:33 74.32 1.75%
Trade id #140018462
Max drawdown($2,191)
Time7/14/22 0:00
Quant open50
Worst price56.32
Drawdown as % of equity-1.75%
($1,293)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.00
6/13/22 15:35 UUP INVESCO DB USD INDEX BULLISH FUND ETF LONG 3,557 28.11 7/26 11:48 28.63 1.54%
Trade id #140755417
Max drawdown($1,867)
Time6/16/22 0:00
Quant open3,557
Worst price27.59
Drawdown as % of equity-1.54%
$1,835
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
1/13/22 10:54 UTSL DIREXION DAILY UTILITIES BULL 3X LONG 245 37.27 6/13 10:18 39.41 1.38%
Trade id #138934761
Max drawdown($1,728)
Time2/24/22 0:00
Quant open210
Worst price28.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.38%
$518
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.90
4/11/22 15:39 UUP INVESCO DB USD INDEX BULLISH FUND ETF LONG 3,732 26.84 5/16 15:23 27.84 0.07%
Trade id #140101879
Max drawdown($88)
Time4/13/22 0:00
Quant open2,236
Worst price26.68
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
$3,736
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $12.50
12/27/21 15:37 UGL PROSHARES ULTRA GOLD LONG 4,042 62.88 4/25/22 15:40 64.93 1.72%
Trade id #138720574
Max drawdown($2,049)
Time1/28/22 0:00
Quant open675
Worst price56.38
Drawdown as % of equity-1.72%
$8,232
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $38.02
3/28/22 15:13 UPRO PROSHARES ULTRAPRO S&P 500 LONG 254 64.75 4/11 15:38 63.02 0.44%
Trade id #139945677
Max drawdown($560)
Time4/1/22 0:00
Quant open254
Worst price62.54
Drawdown as % of equity-0.44%
($445)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.08
3/28/22 15:13 UUP INVESCO DB USD INDEX BULLISH FUND ETF LONG 1,936 26.49 4/4 15:44 26.45 0.54%
Trade id #139945688
Max drawdown($693)
Time3/30/22 0:00
Quant open1,936
Worst price26.13
Drawdown as % of equity-0.54%
($69)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
2/22/22 15:28 UUP INVESCO DB USD INDEX BULLISH FUND ETF LONG 2,594 26.37 3/21 15:51 26.34 0.07%
Trade id #139496674
Max drawdown($84)
Time3/21/22 15:51
Quant open2,594
Worst price26.34
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
($86)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.79
6/3/21 10:06 KRBN KRANESHARES GLOBAL CARBON ETF LONG 350 36.16 3/1/22 9:45 43.99 0.24%
Trade id #135889498
Max drawdown($305)
Time6/17/21 0:00
Quant open250
Worst price33.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
$2,731
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
12/9/20 12:35 ERX DIREXION DAILY ENERGY BULL 2X LONG 496 19.32 2/24/22 9:35 32.58 0.5%
Trade id #132724188
Max drawdown($564)
Time12/21/20 0:00
Quant open200
Worst price13.77
Drawdown as % of equity-0.50%
$6,568
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $9.92
11/23/21 12:28 BITO PROSHARES BITCOIN STRATEGY ETF LONG 277 31.64 2/24/22 9:35 22.55 2.38%
Trade id #138315165
Max drawdown($2,886)
Time1/24/22 0:00
Quant open237
Worst price20.90
Drawdown as % of equity-2.38%
($2,524)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.54
1/31/22 15:32 UUP INVESCO DB USD INDEX BULLISH FUND ETF LONG 2,400 25.86 2/7 15:38 25.55 0.7%
Trade id #139179974
Max drawdown($852)
Time2/3/22 0:00
Quant open2,400
Worst price25.51
Drawdown as % of equity-0.70%
($773)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
1/24/22 15:32 TMF DIREXION DAILY 20+ YR TRSY BUL LONG 1,280 25.06 1/31 15:31 24.81 1.23%
Trade id #139080269
Max drawdown($1,494)
Time1/26/22 0:00
Quant open1,280
Worst price23.89
Drawdown as % of equity-1.23%
($326)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
2/28/20 10:08 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 1,198 23.02 1/13/22 10:30 38.73 7.36%
Trade id #127765200
Max drawdown($3,907)
Time3/23/20 0:00
Quant open640
Worst price8.07
Drawdown as % of equity-7.36%
$18,792
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $23.96
11/30/21 9:45 MNDY MONDAY.COM LTD. ORDINARY SHARES LONG 16 325.90 1/13/22 10:29 229.53 1.31%
Trade id #138392188
Max drawdown($1,656)
Time1/6/22 0:00
Quant open14
Worst price221.60
Drawdown as % of equity-1.31%
($1,542)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.32
2/28/20 10:10 DDOG DATADOG INC. LONG 134 70.63 1/13/22 10:28 111.59 1.48%
Trade id #127765271
Max drawdown($804)
Time3/16/20 0:00
Quant open63
Worst price28.88
Drawdown as % of equity-1.48%
$5,486
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.68
1/3/22 15:32 URTY PROSHARES ULTRAPRO RUSSELL2000 LONG 276 104.32 1/10 15:14 88.49 4.1%
Trade id #138798092
Max drawdown($5,096)
Time1/10/22 12:40
Quant open276
Worst price85.85
Drawdown as % of equity-4.10%
($4,374)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.52
12/27/21 15:37 UPRO PROSHARES ULTRAPRO S&P 500 LONG 411 153.89 1/10/22 15:14 145.83 3.82%
Trade id #138720569
Max drawdown($4,743)
Time1/10/22 10:49
Quant open253
Worst price135.14
Drawdown as % of equity-3.82%
($3,319)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.22
8/5/20 9:43 NET CLOUDFLARE INC LONG 123 67.50 1/6/22 12:41 108.18 0.54%
Trade id #130467957
Max drawdown($478)
Time9/8/20 0:00
Quant open60
Worst price32.70
Drawdown as % of equity-0.54%
$5,002
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.46
11/30/21 9:55 UPST UPSTART HOLDINGS INC. COMMON STOCK LONG 32 184.88 1/6/22 12:40 122.37 1.8%
Trade id #138392427
Max drawdown($2,289)
Time1/6/22 10:11
Quant open32
Worst price113.32
Drawdown as % of equity-1.80%
($2,001)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.64
12/20/21 15:51 UUP INVESCO DB USD INDEX BULLISH FUND ETF LONG 2,858 25.89 12/27 15:36 25.75 0.33%
Trade id #138644793
Max drawdown($442)
Time12/23/21 0:00
Quant open2,858
Worst price25.73
Drawdown as % of equity-0.33%
($384)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    2/28/2020
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $25,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    950.6
  • Age
    32 months ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    352
  • # Profitable
    205
  • % Profitable
    58.20%
  • Avg trade duration
    37.7 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    19.77%
  • drawdown period
    Nov 09, 2021 - Jan 28, 2022
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    41.4%
  • Avg win
    $788.61
  • Avg loss
    $538.23
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $123,496
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $121,420
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    2.06:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    1.27
  • Sortino Ratio
    1.87
  • Calmar Ratio
    2.556
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    119.12%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.41600
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    28.06%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    41.4%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    19.30%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    0.12%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.35%
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.414%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    0.00%
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    0.88%
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    45.5%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    40.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    13.00%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    3.50%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    0.50%
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    528
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    881
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    914
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    744
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $539
  • Avg Win
    $789
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $79,300.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    33
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $161,666.000
  • # Winners
    205
  • Num Months Winners
    23
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    604
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader live capital)
    392660
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    147
  • % Winners
    58.2%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    54344.40
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    905.74
  • Avg Trade Length
    37.7 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    2
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    1.35
  • Daily leverage (max)
    17.13
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.08
  • Beta
    0.36
  • Treynor Index
    0.26
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.00
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    0.12
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    2.062
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.02
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.320
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.369
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.487
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.37160
  • SD
    0.24085
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.54288
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.50393
  • df
    30.00000
  • t
    2.47983
  • p
    0.00949
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.25136
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.81113
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.22650
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.78136
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.89067
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    5.59860
  • Upside part of mean
    0.53473
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.16313
  • Upside SD
    0.24191
  • Downside SD
    0.09551
  • N nonnegative terms
    20.00000
  • N negative terms
    11.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    31.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.09019
  • Mean of criterion
    0.37160
  • SD of predictor
    0.21347
  • SD of criterion
    0.24085
  • Covariance
    0.02685
  • r
    0.52217
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.58913
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.31846
  • Mean Square Error
    0.04365
  • DF error
    29.00000
  • t(b)
    3.29717
  • p(b)
    0.00129
  • t(a)
    2.43144
  • p(a)
    0.01072
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.22369
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.95456
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.05059
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.58634
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.63077
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.31846
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.33927
  • SD
    0.23030
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.47316
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.43597
  • df
    30.00000
  • t
    2.36778
  • p
    0.01227
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.18731
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.73666
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.16356
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.70839
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.43559
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    5.13185
  • Upside part of mean
    0.50678
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.16751
  • Upside SD
    0.22620
  • Downside SD
    0.09875
  • N nonnegative terms
    20.00000
  • N negative terms
    11.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    31.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.06784
  • Mean of criterion
    0.33927
  • SD of predictor
    0.21279
  • SD of criterion
    0.23030
  • Covariance
    0.02488
  • r
    0.50776
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.54954
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.30199
  • Mean Square Error
    0.04072
  • DF error
    29.00000
  • t(b)
    3.17395
  • p(b)
    0.00177
  • t(a)
    2.39483
  • p(a)
    0.01166
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.19543
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.90366
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.04408
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.55989
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.61736
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.30199
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.07788
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.10287
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02499
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.05143
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    31.00000
  • Minimum
    0.91107
  • Quartile 1
    0.98356
  • Median
    1.02775
  • Quartile 3
    1.07138
  • Maximum
    1.19659
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.95522
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00682
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.05196
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.12151
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.08782
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.04609
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.04118
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.05858
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.15074
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.05321
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.07049
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    5.00000
  • Minimum
    0.01924
  • Quartile 1
    0.02898
  • Median
    0.05337
  • Quartile 3
    0.05495
  • Maximum
    0.14613
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.02411
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.05337
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.05495
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.14613
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02597
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.20000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.14613
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.61236
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.44365
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.03608
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    3.03608
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    4.31258
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.36304
  • SD
    0.21752
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.66898
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.66713
  • df
    676.00000
  • t
    2.68284
  • p
    0.00374
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.44585
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.89090
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.44461
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.88964
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.50294
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.75417
  • Upside part of mean
    1.41479
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.05175
  • Upside SD
    0.16343
  • Downside SD
    0.14504
  • N nonnegative terms
    394.00000
  • N negative terms
    283.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    677.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.10178
  • Mean of criterion
    0.36304
  • SD of predictor
    0.25981
  • SD of criterion
    0.21752
  • Covariance
    0.02283
  • r
    0.40396
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.33820
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.32900
  • Mean Square Error
    0.03965
  • DF error
    675.00000
  • t(b)
    11.47280
  • p(b)
    -0.00000
  • t(a)
    2.65197
  • p(a)
    0.00410
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.28032
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.39608
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.08531
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.57192
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.07344
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.32862
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.33918
  • SD
    0.21732
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.56076
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.55903
  • df
    676.00000
  • t
    2.50888
  • p
    0.00617
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.33808
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.78232
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.33692
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.78114
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.30493
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.52430
  • Upside part of mean
    1.40154
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.06236
  • Upside SD
    0.16106
  • Downside SD
    0.14715
  • N nonnegative terms
    394.00000
  • N negative terms
    283.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    677.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.06782
  • Mean of criterion
    0.33918
  • SD of predictor
    0.26123
  • SD of criterion
    0.21732
  • Covariance
    0.02311
  • r
    0.40704
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.33861
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.31622
  • Mean Square Error
    0.03946
  • DF error
    675.00000
  • t(b)
    11.57760
  • p(b)
    -0.00000
  • t(a)
    2.55852
  • p(a)
    0.00536
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.28118
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.39604
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.07354
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.55889
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.00168
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.31622
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02057
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02604
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00815
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01704
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    677.00000
  • Minimum
    0.94657
  • Quartile 1
    0.99570
  • Median
    1.00171
  • Quartile 3
    1.00767
  • Maximum
    1.06266
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98541
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99907
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00466
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01693
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01197
  • Number outliers low
    29.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.04284
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.96746
  • Number of outliers high
    26.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.03840
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.03629
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.15254
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01234
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01900
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.01485
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01356
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.01946
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    37.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00022
  • Quartile 1
    0.00798
  • Median
    0.02125
  • Quartile 3
    0.05524
  • Maximum
    0.17355
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00289
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01334
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.03510
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.10098
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.04726
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.05405
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.15323
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.14061
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.10360
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.12753
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.09709
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.10468
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.12969
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.61221
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.44352
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    2.55559
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    4.39228
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    17.03130
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.06418
  • SD
    0.08964
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.71599
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.71185
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    -0.50628
  • p
    0.52218
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -3.48783
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.05851
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.48500
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.06131
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -0.93104
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    7.38632
  • Upside part of mean
    0.50915
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.57333
  • Upside SD
    0.05690
  • Downside SD
    0.06893
  • N nonnegative terms
    66.00000
  • N negative terms
    65.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    -0.33365
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.06418
  • SD of predictor
    0.25578
  • SD of criterion
    0.08964
  • Covariance
    0.01322
  • r
    0.57661
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.20207
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.00324
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00540
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    8.01587
  • p(b)
    0.15442
  • t(a)
    0.03109
  • p(a)
    0.49826
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.15219
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.25194
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.20313
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.20962
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.31761
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.00324
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.06817
  • SD
    0.08978
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.75938
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.75499
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    -0.53696
  • p
    0.52352
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -3.53127
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.01541
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.52831
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.01834
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -0.98351
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    7.32117
  • Upside part of mean
    0.50748
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.57566
  • Upside SD
    0.05667
  • Downside SD
    0.06932
  • N nonnegative terms
    66.00000
  • N negative terms
    65.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    -0.36648
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.06817
  • SD of predictor
    0.25677
  • SD of criterion
    0.08978
  • Covariance
    0.01331
  • r
    0.57734
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.20186
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.00580
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00541
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    8.03109
  • p(b)
    0.15404
  • t(a)
    0.05556
  • p(a)
    0.49689
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.02100
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.15213
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.25159
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.20090
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.21251
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.33773
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.00580
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00934
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01163
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00504
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00961
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.98214
  • Quartile 1
    0.99726
  • Median
    1.00015
  • Quartile 3
    1.00322
  • Maximum
    1.01285
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99278
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99874
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00153
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.00644
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00597
  • Number outliers low
    5.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.03817
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.98496
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00763
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.01285
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.07733
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00653
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00861
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.08293
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00733
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00979
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    4.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00383
  • Quartile 1
    0.00413
  • Median
    0.03359
  • Quartile 3
    0.06662
  • Maximum
    0.07760
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00383
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00423
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.06296
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.07760
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.06249
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.50%
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -296102000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    80
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    -0.03986
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    -0.03947
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    -0.50860
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    -0.50860
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    -3.39341

Strategy Description

The ACE leverages a diverse set of successful strategies to create outsized returns with low drawdowns. No forced trades, patience and discretion is key to long-term, high profitability with low drawdowns. All futures and equities traded are highly liquid and the portfolio is designed to scale up.

Markets:

Equities and ETF's – High growth, recurring revenue companies and a select group of leveraged ETF’s are traded to utilize available cash and increase portfolio returns. All entries and exits are completely automated based on two very successful, time-tested algorithms.

Futures – Using a much smaller portion of the total account, this is a rule-based strategy including strict filtering which leverages significant pivot patterns and turning points. Risk management measures are always in place and there is a constant respect towards the overall trend. Futures symbols include currency pairs, gold, crude oil, and S&P 500 futures. These trades will be infrequent in nature and a much smaller portion of the overall account and returns.

Disclosure:
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. You should not act on the ideas shared until you have consulted with your financial, investment, tax, and legal adviser.

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2020-02-28
Suggested Minimum Capital
$25,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 8.6%
Rank # 
#72
# Trades
352
# Profitable
205
% Profitable
58.2%
Net Dividends
Correlation S&P500
0.416
Sharpe Ratio
1.27
Sortino Ratio
1.87
Beta
0.36
Alpha
0.08
Leverage
1.35 Average
17.13 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.