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Spiderman

Options · Started Sep 2011

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-1.0%
Max Drawdown
82.8%
Trades
179
Win Trades
89.9%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
50.5%

About this strategy

I will use monthly or quarterly options of SP500 companies to buy dip. I may buy and hold small amount of great stocks for long time if they happen to trade at a discount price. My favorite sectors are consumer, tech and industrials. Sometimes I will use SP500 index ETF SPY and its weekly or monthly options for short term trading.


To protect the profit, the loss limit rule is defined as following: Every month if the strategy down more than 5%, I will reduce the trading size to half. If the strategy down more than 10%, I will shut down the trading for the whole month.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2011-1.10.41.20.61.0
20121.31.00.80.4-2.21.70.01.80.70.21.4-0.66.6
20132.0-0.32.00.40.1-1.12.1-0.51.91.60.80.710.1
2014-0.2-1.2-0.60.45.5-0.43.02.7-1.3-0.23.2-3.37.5
2015-2.42.2-6.315.81.8-4.8-4.8-17.43.325.4-3.65.68.6
2016-19.06.43.93.9-14.111.11.9-0.3-20.56.6-4.01.7-25.6
2017-12.2-1.24.93.1-0.0-1.94.56.214.06.4-19.51.30.9
20187.0-0.3-12.7-10.08.41.50.1-6.22.8-11.52.1-1.6-20.8
20198.01.9-4.7-0.60.7-1.1-6.35.43.8-3.88.02.513.4
20200.8-6.5-17.410.92.914.9-1.924.7-2.7-4.915.2-4.527.1
2021-15.5-0.50.31.8-3.99.9-3.34.812.5-6.59.1-21.1-16.7
2022-2.1-44.1-1.5-1.7-0.5-3.01.2-1.0-1.71.1-0.6-2.0-50.3
20231.5-0.9-1.00.32.4-35.658.0-3.4-0.4-0.7-0.72.41.0
2024-0.2-0.7-0.3-0.0-0.2-0.51.3-37.1-2.11.25.0-0.3-35.1
20250.7-3.8-2.9-2.20.70.26.1-0.83.0-2.0-0.15.23.6
20260.8-6.7-1.43.4-1.9168.1-7.9-1.811.21.7157.8

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/19/2011
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age184 months
What it tradesStocks, Options
# Trades179
# Profitable161
% Profitable89.9%
Avg trade duration277.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown82.8%
drawdown periodMay 12, 2015 - Jan 08, 2024
Annual Return (Compounded)-1.0%
Avg win$71
Avg loss$559

Ratios

W:L ratio1.16
Sharpe Ratio0.11
Sortino Ratio0.25
Calmar Ratio0.04

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.15
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life533.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-547.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-1.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity85.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.8%
Percent Trades Stocks0.2%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)—

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$559
Avg Win$71
# Winners161
Sum Trade PL (losers)$10,068
Sum Trade PL (winners)$11,353
Num Months Winners93
# Losers18
% Winners89.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct310

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table182

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)444914.91
Avg Position Time (hrs)7415.25
Avg Trade Length309
Last Trade Ago3934

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.48
Treynor Index0.04

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.35
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades2.49
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.01
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats35.61
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats22.01
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.07
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.60
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.07

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.07
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.23
df66
t-0.56
p0.71
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.59
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.60
Sortino ratio-0.29
Upside Potential Ratio0.96
Upside part of mean0.23
Downside part of mean-0.30
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms42
N negative terms25
N of observations67
Mean of predictor0.30
Mean of criterion-0.07
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance0.01
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.16
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.12
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error65
t(b)1.02
p(b)0.16
t(a)-0.89
p(a)0.81
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.43
Jensen alpha (a)-0.12
Mean-0.12
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.36
df66
t-0.86
p0.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.47
Sortino ratio-0.41
Upside Potential Ratio0.77
Upside part of mean0.22
Downside part of mean-0.34
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.29
N nonnegative terms42
N negative terms25
N of observations67
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion-0.12
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance0.01
r0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.18
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.17
Mean Square Error0.10
DF error65
t(b)0.92
p(b)0.18
t(a)-1.13
p(a)0.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.66
Jensen alpha (a)-0.17
VaR(95%)0.15
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.18
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
Mean0.11
SD0.49
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.21
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.21
df1472
t0.51
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.04
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.61
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.04
Sortino ratio0.37
Upside Potential Ratio4.49
Upside part of mean1.28
Downside part of mean-1.18
Upside SD0.40
Downside SD0.29
N nonnegative terms806
N negative terms667
N of observations1473
Mean of predictor0.33
Mean of criterion0.11
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.49
Covariance0.03
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.43
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.23
DF error1471
t(b)8.76
p(b)0.36
t(a)-0.19
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.36
Treynor index (mean / b)0.24
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
Mean-0.00
SD0.45
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.00
df1472
t-0.01
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.83
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.82
Sortino ratio-0.01
Upside Potential Ratio3.94
Upside part of mean1.22
Downside part of mean-1.22
Upside SD0.33
Downside SD0.31
N nonnegative terms806
N negative terms667
N of observations1473
Mean of predictor0.30
Mean of criterion-0.00
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.45
Covariance0.03
r0.24
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.43
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.13
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error1471
t(b)9.42
p(b)0.35
t(a)-0.70
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.00
Jensen alpha (a)-0.13
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.44
SD1.39
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.32
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.31
df130
t0.22
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.09
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.46
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.09
Sortino ratio0.61
Upside Potential Ratio5.61
Upside part of mean4.05
Downside part of mean-3.61
Upside SD1.18
Downside SD0.72
N nonnegative terms63
N negative terms68
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.41
Mean of criterion0.44
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion1.39
Covariance0.09
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.35
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error1.92
DF error129
t(b)1.45
p(b)0.42
t(a)-0.03
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.99
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.89
Treynor index (mean / b)1.26
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
Mean-0.38
SD1.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.30
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.30
df130
t-0.21
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.47
Sortino ratio-0.46
Upside Potential Ratio4.37
Upside part of mean3.54
Downside part of mean-3.92
Upside SD0.93
Downside SD0.81
N nonnegative terms63
N negative terms68
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.27
Mean of criterion-0.38
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion1.24
Covariance0.08
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.79
Mean Square Error1.53
DF error129
t(b)1.53
p(b)0.42
t(a)-0.45
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.10
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-4.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.71
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.15
Jensen alpha (a)-0.79
VaR(95%)0.12
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.15
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations67
Minimum0.60
Quartile 10.99
Median1.01
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.28
Mean of quarter 10.91
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.06
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low8
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.83
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.17
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.84
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.56
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.93
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.34
Number of observations1473
Minimum0.74
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.73
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low157
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high156
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.01
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.67
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations131
Minimum0.74
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.73
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.06
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.88
Number of outliers high13
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.13
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.08
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.86
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.19

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.64
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.34
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.64
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations85
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.66
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high11
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high0.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.37
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations3
Minimum0.05
Quartile 10.06
Median0.07
Quartile 30.35
Maximum0.63
Mean of quarter 10.05
Mean of quarter 20.07
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.63
Inter Quartile Range0.29
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-512754880
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)3163
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.07
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.08
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.13
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.25
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.47
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.03
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.04
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.52
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.48
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.32
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.29
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.46
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.46
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.99

Trading record

Placed 157 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
XOM1615M65 short1Apr 30, 2015Jan 16, 2016$70
MSFT1615M33 short2Apr 23, 2015Jan 16, 2016$102
KZ1518X7.5 short1Jun 25, 2015Dec 19, 2015$84
JASO1518X9 short2Jun 12, 2015Dec 19, 2015$129
AXP1516V65 short1Mar 12, 2015Oct 17, 2015$93
INTC1516V24 short2Mar 12, 2015Oct 17, 2015$98
HAL1516V33 short1Mar 25, 2015Oct 17, 2015$59
LC1516V15 short2Mar 26, 2015Oct 17, 2015$164
DSKY1516V7.5 short4Apr 13, 2015Oct 17, 2015$327
BITA1516V45 short1Jun 12, 2015Oct 17, 2015$154
YOKU1518U16 short1Jul 21, 2015Sep 19, 2015$49
KNDI1518U9 short1Jun 12, 2015Sep 19, 2015$79
YOKU1518I16 short1Apr 13, 2015Sep 19, 2015$117
YOKU long200Mar 5, 2015Sep 19, 2015$27
QIHU1518U42.5 short1May 14, 2015Sep 19, 2015$159
BABA1518U65 short1May 1, 2015Sep 19, 2015$110
YNDX1521H19 short1May 18, 2015Aug 22, 2015$159
JMEI1517G15 short1Feb 23, 2015Jul 18, 2015$97
YOKU1519F16 short1Mar 19, 2015Jun 20, 2015$89
YOKU1519R14 short1Jan 15, 2015Jun 20, 2015$83
YNDX1515E20 short1Jan 20, 2015May 16, 2015$99
QIHU1517P42.5 short1Feb 23, 2015Apr 18, 2015$99
YNDX1517D16 short1Mar 5, 2015Apr 18, 2015$77
YOKU1517D17 short1Mar 5, 2015Apr 16, 2015$47
JMEI1520C12.5 short1Feb 13, 2015Mar 21, 2015$103
JMEI1520B15 short1Jan 2, 2015Feb 21, 2015$76
KZ long100Jan 15, 2015Feb 13, 2015($51)
GAME long100Jan 20, 2015Feb 13, 2015($42)
YGE long40Jan 18, 2015Jan 20, 2015($433)
YNDX1517A18 short1Jan 2, 2015Jan 18, 2015$95

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.