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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

Tradethesignals (109739142)

Created by: JackFreeman JackFreeman
Started: 02/2017
Futures
Last trade: 90 days ago

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $99.00 per month.

62.5%
Cumul. Return
24.9%
Max Drawdown
13
Num Trades
84.6%
Win Trades
3.9 : 1
Profit Factor
50.0%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2017       (0.3%)+10.0%+14.9%+9.3%+9.2%+12.7%(4%)(0.1%)(0.1%)(0.1%)      +62.5%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
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Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
7/27/17 20:20 @TFSU7 Emini Russell 2000 LONG 20 1397.19 8/25 16:10 1376.00 25.66%
Trade id #112846063
Max drawdown($37,040)
Time8/18/17 9:39
Quant open10
Worst price1348.80
Drawdown as % of equity-25.66%
($21,350)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $160.00
7/27/17 18:27 @ESU7 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 28 2452.33 8/25 16:10 2463.80 14.6%
Trade id #112844239
Max drawdown($19,310)
Time8/11/17 7:51
Quant open14
Worst price2430.25
Drawdown as % of equity-14.60%
$15,839
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $224.00
6/21/17 16:53 @TFSU7 Emini Russell 2000 LONG 4 1399.90 7/17 16:23 1424.23 0.3%
Trade id #112161447
Max drawdown($430)
Time6/22/17 5:24
Quant open2
Worst price1393.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.30%
$4,833
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00
6/21/17 16:52 @ESU7 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 22 2422.19 7/13 16:30 2439.83 6.86%
Trade id #112161415
Max drawdown($9,612)
Time6/28/17 4:24
Quant open15
Worst price2413.75
Drawdown as % of equity-6.86%
$19,224
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $176.00
6/15/17 16:30 @ESU7 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 3 2430.50 6/19 16:13 2447.25 0.43%
Trade id #112086261
Max drawdown($612)
Time6/16/17 10:56
Quant open1
Worst price2420.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.43%
$2,489
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
6/6/17 16:35 @ESU7 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 8 2428.88 6/13 16:30 2437.75 2.97%
Trade id #111941079
Max drawdown($4,150)
Time6/9/17 14:51
Quant open5
Worst price2412.50
Drawdown as % of equity-2.97%
$3,486
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
5/30/17 18:24 @ESU7 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 2409.00 6/1 16:30 2426.75 0.32%
Trade id #111838519
Max drawdown($450)
Time5/31/17 10:10
Quant open1
Worst price2400.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.32%
$880
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
3/17/17 16:30 @ESM7 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 46 2355.54 5/19 15:57 2370.47 21.78%
Trade id #110316172
Max drawdown($19,812)
Time3/27/17 2:43
Quant open14
Worst price2317.75
Drawdown as % of equity-21.78%
$33,982
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $368.00
3/14/17 10:27 @ESM7 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 2360.25 3/15 16:30 2380.50 0.13%
Trade id #110220194
Max drawdown($137)
Time3/14/17 10:46
Quant open1
Worst price2354.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
$2,009
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
3/6/17 16:31 @ESH7 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 2370.62 3/10 16:30 2371.00 1.64%
Trade id #110059803
Max drawdown($1,662)
Time3/9/17 14:17
Quant open2
Worst price2354.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.64%
$22
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/28/17 16:35 @TFSH7 Emini Russell 2000 LONG 1 1382.00 3/1 16:32 1412.20 n/a $1,502
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/28/17 16:34 @ESH7 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 2361.75 3/1 16:32 2392.75 0.01%
Trade id #109921240
Max drawdown($12)
Time2/28/17 16:36
Quant open1
Worst price2361.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$1,542
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/22/17 6:49 @ESH7 E-MINI S&P 500 SHORT 3 2356.50 2/28 16:34 2362.00 2.17%
Trade id #109739147
Max drawdown($2,137)
Time2/27/17 15:31
Quant open-3
Worst price2370.75
Drawdown as % of equity-2.17%
($849)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    2/22/2017
  • Starting Unit Size
    $160,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    270.87
  • Age
    9 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    13
  • # Profitable
    11
  • % Profitable
    84.60%
  • Avg trade duration
    15.0 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    24.91%
  • drawdown period
    Aug 08, 2017 - Aug 11, 2017
  • Cumul. Return
    62.5%
  • Avg win
    $7,886
  • Avg loss
    $11,007
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $164,735
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $164,735
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    3.94:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    1.996
  • Sortino Ratio
    3.604
  • Calmar Ratio
    7.294
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.49700
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    91.1%
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    94.2%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    100.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    100.00%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    452
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    0
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Subscription Price
  • Billing Period (days)
    30
  • Trial Days
    14
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $11,008
  • Avg Win
    $7,887
  • # Winners
    11
  • # Losers
    2
  • % Winners
    84.6%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    21625.60
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    360.43
  • Avg Trade Length
    15.0 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    86
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    1.00728
  • SD
    0.33776
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.98227
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.50734
  • df
    5.00000
  • t
    2.10878
  • p
    0.04438
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.41955
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    6.18696
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.67039
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    5.68506
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    11.96920
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    13.38340
  • Upside part of mean
    1.12629
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.11901
  • Upside SD
    0.41537
  • Downside SD
    0.08416
  • N nonnegative terms
    5.00000
  • N negative terms
    1.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    6.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.03663
  • Mean of criterion
    1.00728
  • SD of predictor
    0.04793
  • SD of criterion
    0.33776
  • Covariance
    0.01491
  • r
    0.92108
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    6.49039
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.76956
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02162
  • DF error
    4.00000
  • t(b)
    4.73109
  • p(b)
    0.00455
  • t(a)
    3.59735
  • p(a)
    0.01141
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.68075
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    10.30000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.17550
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.36363
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.15519
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.76956
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.92443
  • SD
    0.31311
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.95238
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.48221
  • df
    5.00000
  • t
    2.08765
  • p
    0.04559
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.43940
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    6.14773
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.68793
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    5.65235
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    10.68010
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    12.09430
  • Upside part of mean
    1.04684
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.12241
  • Upside SD
    0.38134
  • Downside SD
    0.08656
  • N nonnegative terms
    5.00000
  • N negative terms
    1.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    6.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.03553
  • Mean of criterion
    0.92443
  • SD of predictor
    0.04786
  • SD of criterion
    0.31311
  • Covariance
    0.01391
  • r
    0.92846
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    6.07384
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.70861
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01691
  • DF error
    4.00000
  • t(b)
    4.99917
  • p(b)
    0.00375
  • t(a)
    3.75139
  • p(a)
    0.00996
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.69988
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    9.44780
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.18406
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.23316
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.15220
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.70861
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.06913
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.10314
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00920
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02526
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    6.00000
  • Minimum
    0.94282
  • Quartile 1
    1.04282
  • Median
    1.08027
  • Quartile 3
    1.13899
  • Maximum
    1.22535
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98949
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.06281
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.09774
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.18905
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.09617
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    1.00000
  • Minimum
    0.05718
  • Quartile 1
    0.05718
  • Median
    0.05718
  • Quartile 3
    0.05718
  • Maximum
    0.05718
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    1.21979
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.59176
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    27.83820
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    15.43320
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.95090
  • SD
    0.47392
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.00647
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.99649
  • df
    151.00000
  • t
    1.52828
  • p
    0.42163
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.57992
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.58639
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.58656
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.57954
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.60425
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.82151
  • Upside part of mean
    2.32735
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.37645
  • Upside SD
    0.39619
  • Downside SD
    0.26383
  • N nonnegative terms
    69.00000
  • N negative terms
    83.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    152.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.13040
  • Mean of criterion
    0.95090
  • SD of predictor
    0.07680
  • SD of criterion
    0.47392
  • Covariance
    0.01771
  • r
    0.48661
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    3.00295
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.55900
  • Mean Square Error
    0.17256
  • DF error
    150.00000
  • t(b)
    6.82189
  • p(b)
    0.25670
  • t(a)
    1.01990
  • p(a)
    0.45851
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.13317
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    3.87274
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.52426
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.64287
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.31666
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.55930
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.84151
  • SD
    0.46237
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.82000
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.81095
  • df
    151.00000
  • t
    1.38626
  • p
    0.42878
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.76431
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.39848
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.77036
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.39226
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.07366
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.23423
  • Upside part of mean
    2.25437
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.41286
  • Upside SD
    0.37433
  • Downside SD
    0.27378
  • N nonnegative terms
    69.00000
  • N negative terms
    83.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    152.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.12743
  • Mean of criterion
    0.84151
  • SD of predictor
    0.07685
  • SD of criterion
    0.46237
  • Covariance
    0.01744
  • r
    0.49092
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    2.95354
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.46515
  • Mean Square Error
    0.16334
  • DF error
    150.00000
  • t(b)
    6.90145
  • p(b)
    0.25454
  • t(a)
    0.87203
  • p(a)
    0.46449
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.10793
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    3.79914
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.58881
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.51911
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.28492
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.46515
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.04283
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.05413
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01245
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02756
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    152.00000
  • Minimum
    0.89917
  • Quartile 1
    0.99905
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00671
  • Maximum
    1.18253
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97934
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99987
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00258
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.03315
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00766
  • Number outliers low
    16.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.10526
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.95743
  • Number of outliers high
    21.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.13816
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.05076
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    1.42959
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01536
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.50355
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00993
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02611
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    18.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00013
  • Quartile 1
    0.00568
  • Median
    0.01030
  • Quartile 3
    0.02632
  • Maximum
    0.18994
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00243
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00847
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.01334
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.09702
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02064
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.16667
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.14017
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.20263
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.08339
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.10933
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.11633
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.12579
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.19828
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    1.13071
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.38552
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    7.29443
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    14.28010
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    25.59450
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    1.03375
  • SD
    0.50720
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.03816
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.02638
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    1.44120
  • p
    0.43730
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.74845
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.81714
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.75635
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.80911
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.66250
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.98917
  • Upside part of mean
    2.53722
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.50347
  • Upside SD
    0.42391
  • Downside SD
    0.28225
  • N nonnegative terms
    60.00000
  • N negative terms
    71.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.16959
  • Mean of criterion
    1.03375
  • SD of predictor
    0.07597
  • SD of criterion
    0.50720
  • Covariance
    0.01937
  • r
    0.50277
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    3.35653
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.46452
  • Mean Square Error
    0.19371
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    6.60602
  • p(b)
    0.19398
  • t(a)
    0.73924
  • p(a)
    0.45868
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.35124
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    4.36182
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.77873
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.70777
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.30798
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.46452
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.90858
  • SD
    0.49475
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.83646
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.82584
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    1.29857
  • p
    0.44342
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.94771
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.61373
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.95483
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.60652
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.10082
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.37420
  • Upside part of mean
    2.45376
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.54517
  • Upside SD
    0.40025
  • Downside SD
    0.29301
  • N nonnegative terms
    60.00000
  • N negative terms
    71.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.16665
  • Mean of criterion
    0.90858
  • SD of predictor
    0.07605
  • SD of criterion
    0.49475
  • Covariance
    0.01909
  • r
    0.50724
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    3.29977
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.35868
  • Mean Square Error
    0.18321
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    6.68504
  • p(b)
    0.19152
  • t(a)
    0.58715
  • p(a)
    0.46715
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.32316
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    4.27638
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.84997
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.56732
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.27535
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.35868
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.04573
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.05778
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01354
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02989
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.89917
  • Quartile 1
    0.99938
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00689
  • Maximum
    1.18253
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97747
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99997
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00268
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.03605
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00752
  • Number outliers low
    15.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.11450
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.95592
  • Number of outliers high
    19.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.14504
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.05384
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    1.44659
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01144
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.49816
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00999
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02683
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    16.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00013
  • Quartile 1
    0.00599
  • Median
    0.01138
  • Quartile 3
    0.03068
  • Maximum
    0.18994
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00169
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00883
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.01786
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.11151
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02469
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.18750
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.13684
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -9.47424
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.08698
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.08698
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.78548
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.17817
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.20459
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    1.19438
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.55102
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    8.16574
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    13.90900
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    26.84360

Strategy Description

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2017-02-22
Minimum Capital Required
$160,000
# Trades
13
# Profitable
11
% Profitable
84.6%
Correlation S&P500
0.497
Sharpe Ratio
1.996

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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