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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

NASDAQ ETF 3X ALGO
(140869428)

Created by: ATCapital ATCapital
Started: 06/2022
Stocks
Last trade: Today
Trading style: Equity Momentum

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $97.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Equity
Momentum
Category: Equity

Momentum

Aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. Trader takes a long position in an asset in an upward trend, and short-sells a security that has been in a downward trend. While similar to Trend-following, tends to be more forward-looking (predicting oncoming trend), while Momentum is more backward-looking (observing already-established price direction).
5.5%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(32.3%)
Max Drawdown
172
Num Trades
23.8%
Win Trades
1.1 : 1
Profit Factor
45.5%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022                                   (0.5%)+8.1%+9.4%(4.7%)+4.5%(3.8%)(12.8%)(1.8%)
2023+18.3%(10.7%)+4.9%(10.8%)+12.8%+1.2%(7.2%)(5%)(0.5%)(2.1%)+23.6%+6.0%+27.0%
2024+4.4%(9.4%)(6.8%)                                                      (11.8%)

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Show More details Show Fewer details
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
3/14/24 15:45 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 2,958 11.18 3/20 14:47 10.75 3.83%
Trade id #147642691
Max drawdown($1,063)
Time3/20/24 14:47
Quant open1,555
Worst price10.50
Drawdown as % of equity-3.83%
($1,302)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.00
2/22/24 10:00 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 2,225 60.44 3/14 15:45 59.99 3.4%
Trade id #147409846
Max drawdown($1,041)
Time3/5/24 0:00
Quant open566
Worst price58.02
Drawdown as % of equity-3.40%
($1,064)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $44.50
2/20/24 10:45 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 1,455 12.09 2/22 9:30 11.33 3.82%
Trade id #147379263
Max drawdown($1,178)
Time2/22/24 9:30
Quant open1,455
Worst price11.28
Drawdown as % of equity-3.82%
($1,111)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
2/15/24 9:30 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 901 58.88 2/20 9:38 57.12 3.62%
Trade id #147342416
Max drawdown($1,181)
Time2/16/24 0:00
Quant open625
Worst price57.11
Drawdown as % of equity-3.62%
($1,605)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $18.02
2/1/24 15:00 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 1,376 56.11 2/13 15:00 56.90 0.32%
Trade id #147197180
Max drawdown($103)
Time2/1/24 15:53
Quant open370
Worst price54.19
Drawdown as % of equity-0.32%
$1,059
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $27.52
1/31/24 15:15 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 1,307 12.68 2/2 9:44 12.05 2.62%
Trade id #147184448
Max drawdown($836)
Time2/2/24 9:44
Quant open1,307
Worst price12.04
Drawdown as % of equity-2.62%
($828)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
1/8/24 10:00 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 2,878 51.69 1/31 15:15 52.69 0.1%
Trade id #146931357
Max drawdown($30)
Time1/8/24 10:03
Quant open392
Worst price47.28
Drawdown as % of equity-0.10%
$2,830
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $57.56
1/2/24 11:00 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 1,094 14.17 1/10 10:45 13.67 1.79%
Trade id #146874286
Max drawdown($547)
Time1/10/24 10:44
Quant open1,094
Worst price13.67
Drawdown as % of equity-1.79%
($552)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
12/7/23 10:30 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 1,804 48.18 1/2/24 11:00 49.86 0.64%
Trade id #146635200
Max drawdown($176)
Time12/7/23 11:19
Quant open354
Worst price43.45
Drawdown as % of equity-0.64%
$3,000
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $36.08
12/6/23 13:00 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 964 16.37 12/7 10:30 15.97 1.42%
Trade id #146628652
Max drawdown($395)
Time12/7/23 10:29
Quant open964
Worst price15.96
Drawdown as % of equity-1.42%
($391)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
12/5/23 15:00 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 376 43.18 12/6 13:00 42.95 1.03%
Trade id #146619182
Max drawdown($289)
Time12/6/23 0:00
Quant open376
Worst price42.41
Drawdown as % of equity-1.03%
($94)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.52
12/4/23 10:30 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 1,967 16.52 12/6 9:30 16.07 2.33%
Trade id #146605613
Max drawdown($655)
Time12/6/23 9:30
Quant open974
Worst price15.85
Drawdown as % of equity-2.33%
($908)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.00
12/5/23 11:00 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 380 43.64 12/5 12:00 42.96 1.3%
Trade id #146615755
Max drawdown($372)
Time12/5/23 11:54
Quant open380
Worst price42.66
Drawdown as % of equity-1.30%
($266)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.60
12/1/23 12:00 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 378 43.99 12/4 9:44 42.66 1.72%
Trade id #146590963
Max drawdown($506)
Time12/4/23 9:44
Quant open378
Worst price42.65
Drawdown as % of equity-1.72%
($511)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.56
11/29/23 9:30 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 379 45.29 11/29 15:30 44.18 1.46%
Trade id #146563860
Max drawdown($432)
Time11/29/23 15:27
Quant open379
Worst price44.15
Drawdown as % of equity-1.46%
($429)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.58
11/28/23 11:30 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 381 44.35 11/28 13:30 44.01 0.76%
Trade id #146555517
Max drawdown($228)
Time11/28/23 13:15
Quant open381
Worst price43.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.76%
($138)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.62
11/27/23 11:00 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 381 44.33 11/27 15:30 44.33 0.43%
Trade id #146543477
Max drawdown($129)
Time11/27/23 14:43
Quant open381
Worst price43.99
Drawdown as % of equity-0.43%
($8)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.62
11/21/23 14:30 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 385 43.78 11/24 10:30 43.95 0.13%
Trade id #146502997
Max drawdown($38)
Time11/21/23 14:33
Quant open385
Worst price43.68
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
$57
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.70
11/21/23 13:00 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 383 43.88 11/21 14:00 43.77 0.47%
Trade id #146502025
Max drawdown($141)
Time11/21/23 13:25
Quant open383
Worst price43.51
Drawdown as % of equity-0.47%
($50)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.66
11/16/23 12:30 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 390 42.97 11/21 10:30 43.38 0.53%
Trade id #146462739
Max drawdown($157)
Time11/17/23 0:00
Quant open390
Worst price42.56
Drawdown as % of equity-0.53%
$152
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.80
11/10/23 10:30 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 414 38.79 11/16 11:30 42.46 0.12%
Trade id #146396854
Max drawdown($33)
Time11/10/23 10:40
Quant open414
Worst price38.71
Drawdown as % of equity-0.12%
$1,511
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.28
10/31/23 11:00 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 824 32.85 11/10 10:04 38.72 0.64%
Trade id #146288789
Max drawdown($151)
Time10/31/23 11:47
Quant open421
Worst price31.97
Drawdown as % of equity-0.64%
$4,821
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.48
10/31/23 10:30 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 617 22.12 10/31 11:00 22.01 0.44%
Trade id #146288243
Max drawdown($104)
Time10/31/23 11:00
Quant open617
Worst price21.95
Drawdown as % of equity-0.44%
($73)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
10/30/23 13:30 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 423 32.24 10/31 10:30 32.18 1.14%
Trade id #146279663
Max drawdown($271)
Time10/31/23 9:53
Quant open423
Worst price31.60
Drawdown as % of equity-1.14%
($33)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.46
10/30/23 13:00 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 611 22.45 10/30 13:30 22.09 1%
Trade id #146279167
Max drawdown($244)
Time10/30/23 13:30
Quant open611
Worst price22.05
Drawdown as % of equity-1.00%
($225)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
10/30/23 12:00 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 429 32.14 10/30 13:00 31.73 0.95%
Trade id #146278312
Max drawdown($231)
Time10/30/23 12:46
Quant open429
Worst price31.60
Drawdown as % of equity-0.95%
($185)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.58
10/30/23 11:00 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 620 22.35 10/30 12:00 22.14 0.58%
Trade id #146276651
Max drawdown($142)
Time10/30/23 12:00
Quant open620
Worst price22.12
Drawdown as % of equity-0.58%
($135)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
10/30/23 10:00 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 391 32.52 10/30 11:00 31.84 1.51%
Trade id #146275254
Max drawdown($369)
Time10/30/23 10:45
Quant open391
Worst price31.57
Drawdown as % of equity-1.51%
($274)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.82
10/18/23 13:15 SQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT QQQ LONG 1,854 20.18 10/30 10:00 21.75 n/a $2,900
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $15.00
10/24/23 15:00 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 359 35.25 10/25 9:34 34.19 1.79%
Trade id #146223210
Max drawdown($407)
Time10/25/23 9:34
Quant open359
Worst price34.12
Drawdown as % of equity-1.79%
($388)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.18

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    6/27/2022
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $15,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    640.02
  • Age
    21 months ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    172
  • # Profitable
    41
  • % Profitable
    23.80%
  • Avg trade duration
    3.6 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    32.28%
  • drawdown period
    Oct 13, 2022 - Sept 20, 2023
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    5.5%
  • Avg win
    $1,565
  • Avg loss
    $442.61
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $8,067
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $7,800
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.14:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.23
  • Sortino Ratio
    0.36
  • Calmar Ratio
    0.632
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -24.66%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.20900
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    34.57%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    5.5%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    26.00%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.10%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.055%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    1.00%
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    15.4%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    77.50%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    39.50%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    20.00%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    7.00%
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    99.85%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    1.00%
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    335
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    315
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $443
  • Avg Win
    $1,566
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $57,997.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    22
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $64,196.000
  • # Winners
    41
  • Num Months Winners
    10
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    944
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    131
  • % Winners
    23.8%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    5218.83
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    86.98
  • Avg Trade Length
    3.6 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    2
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    2.31
  • Daily leverage (max)
    3.51
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.01
  • Beta
    0.44
  • Treynor Index
    0.06
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.02
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.88
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.02
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    35.205
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.02
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.122
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.051
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.032
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.21956
  • SD
    0.29123
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.75391
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.72368
  • df
    19.00000
  • t
    0.97329
  • p
    0.36237
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.79242
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.28105
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.81184
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.25920
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.35804
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    3.21403
  • Upside part of mean
    0.51962
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.30006
  • Upside SD
    0.24177
  • Downside SD
    0.16167
  • N nonnegative terms
    12.00000
  • N negative terms
    8.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    20.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.15200
  • Mean of criterion
    0.21956
  • SD of predictor
    0.16821
  • SD of criterion
    0.29123
  • Covariance
    0.01166
  • r
    0.23805
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.41215
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.15691
  • Mean Square Error
    0.08445
  • DF error
    18.00000
  • t(b)
    1.03988
  • p(b)
    0.38097
  • t(a)
    0.67337
  • p(a)
    0.42162
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.42053
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.24483
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.33266
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.64648
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.53272
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.15691
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.17824
  • SD
    0.28636
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.62243
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.59748
  • df
    19.00000
  • t
    0.80356
  • p
    0.38522
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.91640
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.14531
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.93254
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.12750
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.04199
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    2.87427
  • Upside part of mean
    0.49167
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.31343
  • Upside SD
    0.22647
  • Downside SD
    0.17106
  • N nonnegative terms
    12.00000
  • N negative terms
    8.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    20.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.13738
  • Mean of criterion
    0.17824
  • SD of predictor
    0.16834
  • SD of criterion
    0.28636
  • Covariance
    0.01089
  • r
    0.22586
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.38422
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.12546
  • Mean Square Error
    0.08214
  • DF error
    18.00000
  • t(b)
    0.98367
  • p(b)
    0.38707
  • t(a)
    0.54929
  • p(a)
    0.43580
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.43640
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.20485
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.35439
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.60531
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.46390
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.12546
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.11407
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.14375
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.05055
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.09708
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    20.00000
  • Minimum
    0.85028
  • Quartile 1
    0.95768
  • Median
    1.01408
  • Quartile 3
    1.07208
  • Maximum
    1.17930
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.92050
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.98705
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.04644
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.12850
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.11440
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.31708
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.08526
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.10255
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.06785
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.07820
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.10180
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    3.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00569
  • Quartile 1
    0.02565
  • Median
    0.04562
  • Quartile 3
    0.10773
  • Maximum
    0.16984
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00569
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.04562
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.16984
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.08207
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.24599
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.22894
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    1.34799
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    1.34799
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    1.59255
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.16901
  • SD
    0.32632
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.51794
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.51708
  • df
    455.00000
  • t
    0.68329
  • p
    0.24738
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.96837
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.00369
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.96895
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.00311
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    0.80920
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.92701
  • Upside part of mean
    2.07340
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.90439
  • Upside SD
    0.25048
  • Downside SD
    0.20886
  • N nonnegative terms
    211.00000
  • N negative terms
    245.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    456.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.15636
  • Mean of criterion
    0.16901
  • SD of predictor
    0.16530
  • SD of criterion
    0.32632
  • Covariance
    0.01131
  • r
    0.20975
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.41406
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.10400
  • Mean Square Error
    0.10203
  • DF error
    454.00000
  • t(b)
    4.57081
  • p(b)
    0.00000
  • t(a)
    0.42994
  • p(a)
    0.33372
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.23604
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.59208
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.37235
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.58089
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.40819
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.10427
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.11615
  • SD
    0.32491
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.35749
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.35690
  • df
    455.00000
  • t
    0.47163
  • p
    0.31871
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.12848
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.84319
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.12893
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.84273
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    0.54653
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.61115
  • Upside part of mean
    2.04266
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.92651
  • Upside SD
    0.24540
  • Downside SD
    0.21253
  • N nonnegative terms
    211.00000
  • N negative terms
    245.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    456.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.14270
  • Mean of criterion
    0.11615
  • SD of predictor
    0.16502
  • SD of criterion
    0.32491
  • Covariance
    0.01136
  • r
    0.21178
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.41698
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.05665
  • Mean Square Error
    0.10106
  • DF error
    454.00000
  • t(b)
    4.61725
  • p(b)
    0.00000
  • t(a)
    0.23477
  • p(a)
    0.40725
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.23950
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.59445
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.41757
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.53087
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.27856
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.05665
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03205
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.04011
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01766
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03138
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    456.00000
  • Minimum
    0.91370
  • Quartile 1
    0.98782
  • Median
    0.99874
  • Quartile 3
    1.01163
  • Maximum
    1.08583
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97798
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99323
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00482
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02697
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02381
  • Number outliers low
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00877
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.93912
  • Number of outliers high
    8.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.01754
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.06359
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.18511
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.02373
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.03385
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.23463
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02125
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02998
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    16.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00273
  • Quartile 1
    0.01177
  • Median
    0.05875
  • Quartile 3
    0.11636
  • Maximum
    0.24507
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00581
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.03861
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.08545
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.19102
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.10459
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -5.59057
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.19968
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.19973
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -2.37566
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.28660
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.28969
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.16373
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.15496
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    0.63228
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.81122
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    3.86346
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.32134
  • SD
    0.28726
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.11863
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.11216
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.79099
  • p
    0.46540
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.65857
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.89171
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.66294
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.88726
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.87704
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    11.13180
  • Upside part of mean
    1.90572
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.58438
  • Upside SD
    0.23017
  • Downside SD
    0.17120
  • N nonnegative terms
    64.00000
  • N negative terms
    67.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.36048
  • Mean of criterion
    0.32134
  • SD of predictor
    0.11714
  • SD of criterion
    0.28726
  • Covariance
    0.00789
  • r
    0.23456
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.57521
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.11399
  • Mean Square Error
    0.07859
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    2.74050
  • p(b)
    0.35206
  • t(a)
    0.28243
  • p(a)
    0.48418
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.15993
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.99048
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.68455
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.91253
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.55865
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.11399
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.28059
  • SD
    0.28521
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.98383
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.97814
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.69567
  • p
    0.46955
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.79237
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.75640
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.79622
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.75249
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.61897
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.84550
  • Upside part of mean
    1.87970
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.59910
  • Upside SD
    0.22580
  • Downside SD
    0.17332
  • N nonnegative terms
    64.00000
  • N negative terms
    67.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.35341
  • Mean of criterion
    0.28059
  • SD of predictor
    0.11700
  • SD of criterion
    0.28521
  • Covariance
    0.00780
  • r
    0.23361
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.56944
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.07935
  • Mean Square Error
    0.07750
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    2.72877
  • p(b)
    0.35264
  • t(a)
    0.19810
  • p(a)
    0.48890
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.03200
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.15656
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.98232
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.71315
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.87185
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.49275
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.07935
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02753
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03464
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01430
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02529
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.95413
  • Quartile 1
    0.98948
  • Median
    0.99889
  • Quartile 3
    1.00892
  • Maximum
    1.06243
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98147
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99475
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00496
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02427
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01944
  • Number outliers low
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00763
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.95413
  • Number of outliers high
    5.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.03817
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.05178
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.07462
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01921
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02400
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.19153
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01888
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02633
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    8.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00273
  • Quartile 1
    0.02351
  • Median
    0.05639
  • Quartile 3
    0.08542
  • Maximum
    0.16945
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00504
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.04218
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.06790
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.13787
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.06191
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.50%
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -331083000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    342
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.33357
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.36138
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    2.13269
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    2.62110
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    10.43290

Strategy Description

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2022-06-27
Suggested Minimum Capital
$15,000
# Trades
172
# Profitable
41
% Profitable
23.8%
Net Dividends
Correlation S&P500
0.209
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
0.36
Beta
0.44
Alpha
0.01
Leverage
2.31 Average
3.51 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.