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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

Capstone Discretionary
(121285788)

Created by: David_Bean David_Bean
Started: 11/2018
Futures
Last trade: 1,182 days ago
Trading style: Futures Short Term Commodities
Subscriptions not currently available.

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. You can subscribe to this system for free.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Futures
Short Term
Category: Equity

Short Term

Makes short-term trades or bases analysis on short-term market movements.
Commodities
Category: Equity

Commodities

Focuses on non-financial futures such as "softs" and grains, or metals and energy.
38.8%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(43.4%)
Max Drawdown
2401
Num Trades
47.6%
Win Trades
1.3 : 1
Profit Factor
24.6%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2018                                                                      (0.1%)+0.4%+0.3%
2019+9.4%(0.4%)(2.5%)+1.3%(1.2%)+0.1%(19%)+25.4%+29.9%(3.3%)+9.1%+14.1%+69.0%
2020+20.7%+42.8%+15.4%(3.7%)(0.7%)+1.3%+1.0%(0.8%)+5.5%(1.1%)+15.2%+44.3%+235.0%
2021  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2022  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2023  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2024  -    -    -                                                        0.0

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 1,991 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. The most recent trade in a real-money brokerage account occurred more than 1224 days ago.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
12/22/20 15:11 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 20 12684.25 12/22 15:12 12696.50 1.69%
Trade id #132970126
Max drawdown($4,900)
Time12/22/20 15:12
Quant open20
Worst price12696.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.69%
($5,060)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $160.00
12/22/20 13:36 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 4 12705.00 12/22 14:22 12704.75 0.24%
Trade id #132968110
Max drawdown($700)
Time12/22/20 13:49
Quant open4
Worst price12696.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
($52)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00
12/22/20 13:05 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 12687.19 12/22 13:09 12678.79 0.82%
Trade id #132967505
Max drawdown($2,385)
Time12/22/20 13:09
Quant open12
Worst price12677.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.82%
($2,111)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
12/22/20 12:05 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 8 12672.00 12/22 13:05 12686.78 0.97%
Trade id #132966301
Max drawdown($2,840)
Time12/22/20 13:05
Quant open8
Worst price12689.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.97%
($2,429)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
12/22/20 9:54 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 10 12738.25 12/22 11:38 12620.92 1.18%
Trade id #132961844
Max drawdown($3,200)
Time12/22/20 9:59
Quant open10
Worst price12754.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.18%
$23,385
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $80.00
12/21/20 15:54 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 20 12680.49 12/22 0:52 12659.21 8.47%
Trade id #132948221
Max drawdown($21,605)
Time12/22/20 0:00
Quant open20
Worst price12734.50
Drawdown as % of equity-8.47%
$8,350
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $160.00
12/21/20 15:47 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 10 12665.50 12/21 15:52 12640.80 2.2%
Trade id #132947965
Max drawdown($5,800)
Time12/21/20 15:52
Quant open10
Worst price12636.50
Drawdown as % of equity-2.20%
($5,020)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $80.00
12/21/20 11:22 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 10 12535.75 12/21 11:33 12560.12 n/a $4,795
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $80.00
12/18/20 16:10 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 20 12736.96 12/21 5:53 12494.48 9.59%
Trade id #132916658
Max drawdown($15,415)
Time12/21/20 0:47
Quant open20
Worst price12775.50
Drawdown as % of equity-9.59%
$96,835
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $160.00
12/18/20 16:02 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 20 12720.42 12/18 16:09 12730.14 n/a $3,725
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $160.00
12/18/20 15:54 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 20 12692.00 12/18 16:01 12713.52 1.42%
Trade id #132916168
Max drawdown($2,300)
Time12/18/20 15:57
Quant open20
Worst price12686.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.42%
$8,450
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $160.00
12/18/20 15:10 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 10 12648.25 12/18 15:54 12691.75 6.5%
Trade id #132915149
Max drawdown($10,500)
Time12/18/20 15:54
Quant open10
Worst price12700.80
Drawdown as % of equity-6.50%
($8,780)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $80.00
12/18/20 9:34 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 20 12755.25 12/18 14:32 12684.41 3.07%
Trade id #132906643
Max drawdown($4,100)
Time12/18/20 9:40
Quant open20
Worst price12765.50
Drawdown as % of equity-3.07%
$28,175
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $160.00
12/16/20 9:30 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 16 12656.44 12/18 8:42 12776.50 28.14%
Trade id #132847990
Max drawdown($39,860)
Time12/18/20 8:41
Quant open16
Worst price12781.00
Drawdown as % of equity-28.14%
($38,548)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $128.00
12/15/20 18:07 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 12 12608.77 12/16 3:15 12628.23 2.91%
Trade id #132837278
Max drawdown($5,095)
Time12/16/20 3:15
Quant open12
Worst price12630.00
Drawdown as % of equity-2.91%
($4,766)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
12/15/20 15:23 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 10 12587.58 12/15 15:27 12586.27 0.46%
Trade id #132834680
Max drawdown($815)
Time12/15/20 15:27
Quant open10
Worst price12583.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.46%
($340)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $80.00
12/15/20 13:46 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 12554.08 12/15 14:30 12563.50 0.99%
Trade id #132832610
Max drawdown($1,740)
Time12/15/20 14:01
Quant open8
Worst price12543.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.99%
$2,164
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
12/15/20 12:33 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 8 12525.09 12/15 12:41 12533.28 0.24%
Trade id #132831226
Max drawdown($415)
Time12/15/20 12:36
Quant open8
Worst price12522.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
$1,246
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
12/15/20 9:58 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 12 12560.67 12/15 12:22 12528.48 2.67%
Trade id #132821381
Max drawdown($4,340)
Time12/15/20 10:07
Quant open12
Worst price12578.80
Drawdown as % of equity-2.67%
$7,629
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
12/14/20 9:28 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 12 12462.42 12/15 9:52 12579.50 17.42%
Trade id #132793705
Max drawdown($29,420)
Time12/15/20 9:33
Quant open12
Worst price12585.00
Drawdown as % of equity-17.42%
($28,196)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
12/11/20 13:55 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 12334.71 12/11 16:14 12371.83 1.64%
Trade id #132772026
Max drawdown($3,030)
Time12/11/20 14:04
Quant open8
Worst price12321.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.64%
$8,814
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
12/11/20 13:07 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 8 12284.00 12/11 13:55 12341.19 4.93%
Trade id #132771069
Max drawdown($9,600)
Time12/11/20 13:55
Quant open8
Worst price12344.00
Drawdown as % of equity-4.93%
($9,214)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
12/11/20 10:30 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 8 12337.50 12/11 12:29 12257.62 0.59%
Trade id #132766979
Max drawdown($1,080)
Time12/11/20 10:36
Quant open8
Worst price12344.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.59%
$12,716
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
12/11/20 10:29 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 8 12350.56 12/11 10:30 12339.53 0.96%
Trade id #132766917
Max drawdown($1,765)
Time12/11/20 10:30
Quant open8
Worst price12339.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.96%
($1,829)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
12/11/20 10:17 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 8 12344.69 12/11 10:23 12335.78 1.01%
Trade id #132766593
Max drawdown($1,870)
Time12/11/20 10:23
Quant open8
Worst price12333.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.01%
($1,489)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
12/11/20 9:32 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 1 12315.75 12/11 9:33 12305.50 0.11%
Trade id #132764538
Max drawdown($205)
Time12/11/20 9:33
Quant open1
Worst price12305.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
($213)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
12/10/20 20:00 @NQH1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 8 12397.72 12/10 20:14 12390.78 0.57%
Trade id #132754536
Max drawdown($1,075)
Time12/10/20 20:14
Quant open8
Worst price12391.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.57%
($1,174)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
12/10/20 15:41 @NQZ0 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 8 12425.25 12/10 18:01 12375.25 4.09%
Trade id #132750929
Max drawdown($7,920)
Time12/10/20 18:01
Quant open8
Worst price12375.80
Drawdown as % of equity-4.09%
($8,064)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
12/10/20 15:06 @NQZ0 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 6 12382.04 12/10 15:10 12368.92 0.88%
Trade id #132750393
Max drawdown($1,715)
Time12/10/20 15:10
Quant open6
Worst price12367.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.88%
($1,623)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
12/10/20 14:58 @NQZ0 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 4 12363.69 12/10 15:06 12380.25 0.86%
Trade id #132750241
Max drawdown($1,685)
Time12/10/20 15:06
Quant open4
Worst price12384.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.86%
($1,357)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    11/30/2018
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $50,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    1928.08
  • Age
    65 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    2401
  • # Profitable
    1144
  • % Profitable
    47.60%
  • Avg trade duration
    1.7 hours
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    43.41%
  • drawdown period
    Jan 08, 2020 - Jan 24, 2020
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    38.8%
  • Avg win
    $1,154
  • Avg loss
    $823.70
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $334,940
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $334,940
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.28:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.78
  • Sortino Ratio
    1.92
  • Calmar Ratio
    4.654
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    382.22%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.05060
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    86.56%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    38.8%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    3.30%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.61%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.388%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    43.1%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    28.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    5.00%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    23.06%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    0
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $824
  • Avg Win
    $1,154
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $1,035,390.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    65
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $1,320,340.000
  • # Winners
    1144
  • Num Months Winners
    16
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    1257
  • % Winners
    47.6%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    99.75
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    1.66
  • Avg Trade Length
    0.1 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    1175
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    8.39
  • Daily leverage (max)
    40.25
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.10
  • Beta
    0.10
  • Treynor Index
    1.07
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.01
  • MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    32.75
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    13.75
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.38
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    10.208
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.491
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.084
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.098
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.87122
  • SD
    0.53881
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.61695
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.57471
  • df
    29.00000
  • t
    2.55663
  • p
    0.00803
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.29748
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.91144
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.27055
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.87886
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    8.50999
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.76819
  • Upside part of mean
    1.00003
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.12881
  • Upside SD
    0.57741
  • Downside SD
    0.10238
  • N nonnegative terms
    15.00000
  • N negative terms
    15.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    30.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.24228
  • Mean of criterion
    0.87122
  • SD of predictor
    0.24926
  • SD of criterion
    0.53881
  • Covariance
    -0.03428
  • r
    -0.25523
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.55172
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    1.00489
  • Mean Square Error
    0.28109
  • DF error
    28.00000
  • t(b)
    -1.39684
  • p(b)
    0.91328
  • t(a)
    2.88180
  • p(a)
    0.00375
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -1.36079
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.25735
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.29061
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.71918
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -1.57911
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    1.00489
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.73287
  • SD
    0.45430
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.61318
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.57104
  • df
    29.00000
  • t
    2.55066
  • p
    0.00815
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.29402
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.90736
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.26717
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.87490
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    6.71963
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    7.95014
  • Upside part of mean
    0.86707
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.13420
  • Upside SD
    0.48205
  • Downside SD
    0.10906
  • N nonnegative terms
    15.00000
  • N negative terms
    15.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    30.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.20936
  • Mean of criterion
    0.73287
  • SD of predictor
    0.25173
  • SD of criterion
    0.45430
  • Covariance
    -0.02652
  • r
    -0.23189
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.41850
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.82048
  • Mean Square Error
    0.20226
  • DF error
    28.00000
  • t(b)
    -1.26146
  • p(b)
    0.89122
  • t(a)
    2.80223
  • p(a)
    0.00455
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -1.09809
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.26108
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.22072
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.42025
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -1.75116
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.82048
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.14328
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.18802
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02413
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.05262
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    30.00000
  • Minimum
    0.85871
  • Quartile 1
    0.99476
  • Median
    1.00235
  • Quartile 3
    1.10220
  • Maximum
    1.59149
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.96430
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99979
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.04278
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.27944
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.10744
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.13333
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.41706
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.72984
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.03148
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.13144
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    1.03629
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.03968
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    5.00000
  • Minimum
    0.01194
  • Quartile 1
    0.02258
  • Median
    0.02675
  • Quartile 3
    0.05944
  • Maximum
    0.15707
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.01726
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.02675
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.05944
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.15707
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.03686
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.20000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.15707
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    2.27953
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.13993
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    7.25760
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    7.25760
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    6.06274
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.85304
  • SD
    0.53059
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.60771
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.60587
  • df
    656.00000
  • t
    2.54589
  • p
    0.00556
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.36637
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.84788
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.36512
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.84662
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.62343
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.76010
  • Upside part of mean
    1.80077
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.94773
  • Upside SD
    0.49984
  • Downside SD
    0.18450
  • N nonnegative terms
    229.00000
  • N negative terms
    428.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    657.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.26415
  • Mean of criterion
    0.85304
  • SD of predictor
    0.30138
  • SD of criterion
    0.53059
  • Covariance
    0.00545
  • r
    0.03405
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.05995
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.83700
  • Mean Square Error
    0.28163
  • DF error
    655.00000
  • t(b)
    0.87199
  • p(b)
    0.19177
  • t(a)
    2.49451
  • p(a)
    0.00643
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.07505
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.19495
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.17819
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.49622
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    14.22930
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.83720
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.73055
  • SD
    0.47606
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.53458
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.53282
  • df
    656.00000
  • t
    2.43008
  • p
    0.00768
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.29351
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.77448
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.29234
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.77330
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.83992
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.91405
  • Upside part of mean
    1.69591
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.96536
  • Upside SD
    0.43833
  • Downside SD
    0.19025
  • N nonnegative terms
    229.00000
  • N negative terms
    428.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    657.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.21833
  • Mean of criterion
    0.73055
  • SD of predictor
    0.30323
  • SD of criterion
    0.47606
  • Covariance
    0.00540
  • r
    0.03742
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.05874
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.71772
  • Mean Square Error
    0.22666
  • DF error
    655.00000
  • t(b)
    0.95825
  • p(b)
    0.16914
  • t(a)
    2.38491
  • p(a)
    0.00868
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.06163
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.17911
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.12679
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.30866
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    12.43650
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.71772
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.04457
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.05618
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00963
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02094
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    657.00000
  • Minimum
    0.90460
  • Quartile 1
    0.99861
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00316
  • Maximum
    1.46096
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98606
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99981
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00059
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02709
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00455
  • Number outliers low
    69.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.10502
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.97231
  • Number of outliers high
    84.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.12785
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.04706
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.90357
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01006
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.11607
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.39183
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01194
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02645
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    32.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00005
  • Quartile 1
    0.00855
  • Median
    0.02997
  • Quartile 3
    0.05903
  • Maximum
    0.24387
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00426
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01687
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.04488
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.14134
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.05048
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.09375
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.22493
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.27433
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.13995
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.17302
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.71012
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.17239
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.19431
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    2.27259
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.13498
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    4.65398
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    8.03037
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    20.20290
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.02791
  • SD
    0.00000
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.00000
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.00000
  • df
    0.00000
  • t
    0.00000
  • p
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.00000
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -16.18640
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    0.00000
  • Upside part of mean
    0.00000
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.02791
  • Upside SD
    0.00000
  • Downside SD
    0.00172
  • N nonnegative terms
    0.00000
  • N negative terms
    131.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.63271
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.02791
  • SD of predictor
    0.41497
  • SD of criterion
    0.00000
  • Covariance
    0.00000
  • r
    0.00000
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.00000
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.00000
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00000
  • DF error
    0.00000
  • t(b)
    0.00000
  • p(b)
    0.00000
  • t(a)
    0.00000
  • p(a)
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.00000
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.00000
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.00000
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.02791
  • SD
    0.00000
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -9748420000000000.00000
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -9692070000000000.00000
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    -6893170000000000.00000
  • p
    1.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -10870200000000000.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -8513980000000000.00000
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -16.18640
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    0.00000
  • Upside part of mean
    0.00000
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.02791
  • Upside SD
    0.00000
  • Downside SD
    0.00172
  • N nonnegative terms
    0.00000
  • N negative terms
    131.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.54589
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.02791
  • SD of predictor
    0.41759
  • SD of criterion
    0.00000
  • Covariance
    0.00000
  • r
    0.00000
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.00000
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.02791
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00000
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    0.00000
  • p(b)
    0.50000
  • t(a)
    -6844160000000000.00000
  • p(a)
    1.00000
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.04500
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.02791
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.02791
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -229264000000000027846942302142464.00000
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.02791
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00011
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00011
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00000
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    1.00000
  • Quartile 1
    1.00000
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00000
  • Maximum
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 1
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    0.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00000
  • Quartile 1
    0.00000
  • Median
    0.00000
  • Quartile 3
    0.00000
  • Maximum
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    n/a
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -384669000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    16
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.00000
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    0.00000

Strategy Description

Selection of trades from a list of trading systems from Capstone Trading Systems managed with discretion based on inter market analysis, news events, market sentiment, strategy performance, and support and resistance points, adjusted for market volatility, that align with the trading system.

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2018-11-30
Suggested Minimum Capital
$280,000
# Trades
2401
# Profitable
1144
% Profitable
47.6%
Correlation S&P500
0.051
Sharpe Ratio
0.78
Sortino Ratio
1.92
Beta
0.10
Alpha
0.10
Leverage
8.39 Average
40.25 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.