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QuanTimer NQ Interday
(117947172)

Created by: quantimer-dot-net quantimer-dot-net
Started: 05/2018
Futures
Last trade: 8 days ago

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $95.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

36.8%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(30.6%)
Max Drawdown
111
Num Trades
49.5%
Win Trades
1.3 : 1
Profit Factor
52.6%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2018                            +2.4%(3%)+21.9%+13.7%+8.1%(11.9%)(7.9%)(3.3%)+16.9%
2019+4.0%+4.0%+15.7%+8.7%(16.5%)+44.5%(5%)(13.3%)(0.9%)(1.6%)+4.6%      +37.6%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 168 hours.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 190 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
11/7/19 9:00 @NQZ9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 8239.75 11/7 12:02 8262.50 0.35%
Trade id #126108754
Max drawdown($1,380)
Time11/7/19 9:34
Quant open12
Worst price8234.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.35%
$5,364
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
11/1/19 9:00 @NQZ9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 8123.75 11/6 10:28 8188.00 0.55%
Trade id #126036706
Max drawdown($2,160)
Time11/1/19 12:17
Quant open12
Worst price8114.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.55%
$15,324
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
10/30/19 16:05 @NQZ9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 8105.25 10/31 10:23 8058.50 3.56%
Trade id #126011540
Max drawdown($14,220)
Time10/31/19 0:00
Quant open12
Worst price8046.00
Drawdown as % of equity-3.56%
($11,316)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
10/24/19 11:29 @NQZ9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 7962.75 10/29 11:59 8061.50 2.92%
Trade id #125935572
Max drawdown($10,620)
Time10/24/19 19:51
Quant open12
Worst price7918.50
Drawdown as % of equity-2.92%
$23,604
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
10/8/19 3:24 @NQZ9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 7768.00 10/8 6:11 7702.75 4.55%
Trade id #125670625
Max drawdown($17,640)
Time10/8/19 6:10
Quant open12
Worst price7694.50
Drawdown as % of equity-4.55%
($15,756)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
9/30/19 16:09 @NQZ9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 7782.50 10/1 10:00 7808.75 5.62%
Trade id #125561785
Max drawdown($21,960)
Time10/1/19 0:00
Quant open12
Worst price7691.00
Drawdown as % of equity-5.62%
$6,204
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
9/2/19 10:20 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 7667.50 9/2 11:49 7616.25 1.22%
Trade id #125181842
Max drawdown($4,800)
Time9/2/19 11:12
Quant open12
Worst price7647.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.22%
($12,396)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
8/29/19 13:55 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 13 7726.75 8/30 11:03 7680.00 5.16%
Trade id #125146991
Max drawdown($20,995)
Time8/30/19 0:00
Quant open13
Worst price7646.00
Drawdown as % of equity-5.16%
($12,259)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $104.00
8/21/19 9:03 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 13 7744.00 8/22 10:31 7695.50 5.58%
Trade id #125016823
Max drawdown($23,400)
Time8/22/19 0:00
Quant open13
Worst price7654.00
Drawdown as % of equity-5.58%
($12,714)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $104.00
8/20/19 11:03 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 13 7729.25 8/20 14:20 7683.25 2.65%
Trade id #125004042
Max drawdown($11,375)
Time8/20/19 14:18
Quant open13
Worst price7685.50
Drawdown as % of equity-2.65%
($12,064)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $104.00
8/9/19 0:09 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 14 7688.25 8/9 10:08 7654.25 1.89%
Trade id #124848011
Max drawdown($8,330)
Time8/9/19 0:09
Quant open14
Worst price7658.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.89%
($9,632)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $112.00
8/1/19 11:00 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 14 7996.75 8/1 13:28 7947.75 3.02%
Trade id #124717990
Max drawdown($13,720)
Time8/1/19 13:28
Quant open14
Worst price7947.75
Drawdown as % of equity-3.02%
($13,832)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $112.00
7/30/19 10:01 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 14 7971.00 7/31 14:39 7924.75 11.29%
Trade id #124675748
Max drawdown($52,850)
Time7/30/19 10:01
Quant open14
Worst price7782.25
Drawdown as % of equity-11.29%
($13,062)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $112.00
7/26/19 9:34 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 15 8019.25 7/29 9:58 7969.75 3.08%
Trade id #124629941
Max drawdown($14,850)
Time7/29/19 9:58
Quant open15
Worst price7969.75
Drawdown as % of equity-3.08%
($14,970)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $120.00
7/24/19 10:30 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 15 7982.00 7/24 16:50 8008.00 0.79%
Trade id #124593271
Max drawdown($3,750)
Time7/24/19 10:30
Quant open15
Worst price7969.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.79%
$7,680
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $120.00
7/22/19 14:05 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 14 7920.75 7/23 16:41 7950.75 0.76%
Trade id #124567861
Max drawdown($3,570)
Time7/22/19 14:05
Quant open14
Worst price7908.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.76%
$8,288
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $112.00
7/18/19 16:01 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 15 7936.50 7/19 14:27 7884.25 7.53%
Trade id #124523364
Max drawdown($36,375)
Time7/18/19 16:01
Quant open15
Worst price7815.25
Drawdown as % of equity-7.53%
($15,795)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $120.00
7/12/19 10:09 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 15 7948.50 7/12 13:09 7952.25 1.74%
Trade id #124436047
Max drawdown($8,400)
Time7/12/19 10:09
Quant open15
Worst price7920.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.74%
$1,005
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $120.00
7/2/19 15:12 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 15 7809.75 7/2 16:00 7820.50 0.97%
Trade id #124314160
Max drawdown($4,650)
Time7/2/19 15:12
Quant open15
Worst price7794.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.97%
$3,105
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $120.00
6/27/19 18:00 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 7687.25 6/28 5:25 7697.75 0.76%
Trade id #124260531
Max drawdown($3,600)
Time6/27/19 18:00
Quant open12
Worst price7672.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.76%
$2,424
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
6/27/19 16:00 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 7683.00 6/27 16:50 7694.25 0.06%
Trade id #124259617
Max drawdown($300)
Time6/27/19 16:00
Quant open12
Worst price7681.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
$2,604
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
6/26/19 9:12 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 7665.25 6/27 0:49 7674.00 1.25%
Trade id #124236403
Max drawdown($5,880)
Time6/26/19 9:12
Quant open12
Worst price7640.75
Drawdown as % of equity-1.25%
$2,004
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
6/25/19 18:00 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 7634.75 6/26 8:43 7652.00 0.95%
Trade id #124228464
Max drawdown($4,440)
Time6/25/19 18:00
Quant open12
Worst price7616.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.95%
$4,044
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
6/25/19 10:02 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 7725.25 6/25 12:51 7665.50 3.38%
Trade id #124219549
Max drawdown($16,320)
Time6/25/19 10:02
Quant open12
Worst price7657.25
Drawdown as % of equity-3.38%
($14,436)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
6/18/19 3:16 @NQU9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 7550.50 6/25 2:24 7725.25 0.48%
Trade id #124120409
Max drawdown($2,100)
Time6/18/19 3:16
Quant open12
Worst price7541.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.48%
$41,844
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
6/11/19 3:14 @NQM9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 7542.50 6/18 2:04 7535.75 6.68%
Trade id #124022646
Max drawdown($29,160)
Time6/12/19 22:11
Quant open12
Worst price7421.00
Drawdown as % of equity-6.68%
($1,716)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
6/4/19 9:00 @NQM9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 12 7049.75 6/10 19:20 7512.00 1.59%
Trade id #123928364
Max drawdown($5,400)
Time6/4/19 9:52
Quant open12
Worst price7027.25
Drawdown as % of equity-1.59%
$110,844
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $96.00
5/17/19 10:27 @NQM9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 11 7569.50 5/17 15:10 7522.50 2.95%
Trade id #123711069
Max drawdown($10,340)
Time5/17/19 15:10
Quant open0
Worst price7522.50
Drawdown as % of equity-2.95%
($10,428)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $88.00
5/9/19 9:53 @NQM9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX SHORT 11 7506.00 5/9 9:54 7508.25 0.14%
Trade id #123589142
Max drawdown($495)
Time5/9/19 9:54
Quant open0
Worst price7508.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.14%
($583)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $88.00
5/9/19 9:00 @NQM9 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 11 7552.62 5/9 9:51 7515.25 2.71%
Trade id #123587086
Max drawdown($9,707)
Time5/9/19 9:51
Quant open11
Worst price7508.50
Drawdown as % of equity-2.71%
($8,311)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $88.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    5/15/2018
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $240,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    550.01
  • Age
    18 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    111
  • # Profitable
    55
  • % Profitable
    49.50%
  • Avg trade duration
    1.4 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    30.58%
  • drawdown period
    Oct 17, 2018 - Jan 14, 2019
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    36.8%
  • Avg win
    $12,948
  • Avg loss
    $9,790
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $413,894
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $413,894
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.30:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.97
  • Sortino Ratio
    1.52
  • Calmar Ratio
    1.533
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    45.83%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.24960
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    15.08%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    36.8%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    0.24%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.27%
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.368%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    39.6%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    47.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    11.50%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    3.00%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    100.00%
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    7655.00%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    759
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    348
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    638
  • Management
  • No Subs Allowed Flag (1: no subs)
    0
  • Strat abandoned?
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $9,791
  • Avg Win
    $12,949
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $548,277.000
  • Age
  • Num Months (Age strategy)
    19
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $712,171.000
  • # Winners
    55
  • Num Months Winners
    10
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    56
  • % Winners
    49.5%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    2076.32
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    34.60
  • Avg Trade Length
    1.4 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    6
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    4.73
  • Daily leverage (max)
    5.28
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.08
  • Beta
    0.49
  • Treynor Index
    0.19
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.02
  • MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    19.35
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    14.61
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.19
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.04
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    5.641
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.313
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.279
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.177
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.38579
  • SD
    0.35670
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.08156
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.02992
  • df
    16.00000
  • t
    1.28732
  • p
    0.34682
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.62249
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.75378
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.65500
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.71484
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.21253
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    3.97604
  • Upside part of mean
    0.69329
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.30750
  • Upside SD
    0.31898
  • Downside SD
    0.17437
  • N nonnegative terms
    11.00000
  • N negative terms
    6.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    17.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.07124
  • Mean of criterion
    0.38579
  • SD of predictor
    0.12762
  • SD of criterion
    0.35670
  • Covariance
    0.02243
  • r
    0.49269
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.37712
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.28769
  • Mean Square Error
    0.10277
  • DF error
    15.00000
  • t(b)
    2.19280
  • p(b)
    0.19954
  • t(a)
    1.05367
  • p(a)
    0.33482
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.03853
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.71571
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.29427
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.86964
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.28014
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.28769
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.32336
  • SD
    0.34298
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.94280
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.89779
  • df
    16.00000
  • t
    1.12216
  • p
    0.36494
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.74953
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.60703
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.77803
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.57361
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.75180
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    3.50251
  • Upside part of mean
    0.64652
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.32316
  • Upside SD
    0.29215
  • Downside SD
    0.18459
  • N nonnegative terms
    11.00000
  • N negative terms
    6.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    17.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.06324
  • Mean of criterion
    0.32336
  • SD of predictor
    0.12763
  • SD of criterion
    0.34298
  • Covariance
    0.02125
  • r
    0.48550
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.30461
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.24085
  • Mean Square Error
    0.09590
  • DF error
    15.00000
  • t(b)
    2.15080
  • p(b)
    0.20354
  • t(a)
    0.91582
  • p(a)
    0.35481
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.01174
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.59749
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.31970
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.80141
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.24786
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.24085
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.12708
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.16190
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.04722
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.09559
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    17.00000
  • Minimum
    0.87026
  • Quartile 1
    0.96556
  • Median
    1.03420
  • Quartile 3
    1.09041
  • Maximum
    1.26350
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.91772
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.01266
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.06824
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.16847
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.12485
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -1.29793
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.08376
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.08807
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -1.29131
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.12402
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.13020
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    3.00000
  • Minimum
    0.03444
  • Quartile 1
    0.10174
  • Median
    0.16904
  • Quartile 3
    0.18471
  • Maximum
    0.20039
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.03444
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.16904
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.20039
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.08297
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.45516
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.42086
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    2.10029
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    2.10029
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    2.59957
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.36565
  • SD
    0.31350
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.16635
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.16402
  • df
    376.00000
  • t
    1.39910
  • p
    0.08130
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.47045
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.80163
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.47201
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.80004
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.93738
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.65580
  • Upside part of mean
    1.63363
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.26798
  • Upside SD
    0.25082
  • Downside SD
    0.18873
  • N nonnegative terms
    124.00000
  • N negative terms
    253.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    377.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.08069
  • Mean of criterion
    0.36565
  • SD of predictor
    0.14797
  • SD of criterion
    0.31350
  • Covariance
    0.01450
  • r
    0.31254
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.66217
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.31200
  • Mean Square Error
    0.08892
  • DF error
    375.00000
  • t(b)
    6.37159
  • p(b)
    0.00000
  • t(a)
    1.25528
  • p(a)
    0.10508
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.45782
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.86652
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.17685
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.80129
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.55219
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.31222
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.31692
  • SD
    0.31104
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.01891
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.01688
  • df
    376.00000
  • t
    1.22224
  • p
    0.11119
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.61729
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.65377
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.61865
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.65240
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.64197
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.30581
  • Upside part of mean
    1.60311
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.28619
  • Upside SD
    0.24416
  • Downside SD
    0.19301
  • N nonnegative terms
    124.00000
  • N negative terms
    253.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    377.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.06973
  • Mean of criterion
    0.31692
  • SD of predictor
    0.14814
  • SD of criterion
    0.31104
  • Covariance
    0.01437
  • r
    0.31177
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.65459
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.27127
  • Mean Square Error
    0.08757
  • DF error
    375.00000
  • t(b)
    6.35401
  • p(b)
    0.00000
  • t(a)
    1.09915
  • p(a)
    0.13620
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.45202
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.85715
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.21402
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.75656
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.48415
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.27127
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02994
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03767
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01326
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02679
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    377.00000
  • Minimum
    0.90288
  • Quartile 1
    0.99560
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00534
  • Maximum
    1.09773
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98133
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99974
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00081
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02434
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00973
  • Number outliers low
    40.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.10610
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.96963
  • Number of outliers high
    41.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.10875
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.04079
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.21254
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01346
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01736
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.05968
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01643
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02313
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    20.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00112
  • Quartile 1
    0.00855
  • Median
    0.02542
  • Quartile 3
    0.05580
  • Maximum
    0.26867
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00467
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01535
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.04062
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.17345
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.04725
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.20000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.20153
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -6.59167
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.14235
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.14236
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -1.44324
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.26638
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.28062
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.44647
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.41174
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    1.53252
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    2.37377
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    10.92920
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.30165
  • SD
    0.29652
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.01731
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.01143
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.71935
  • p
    0.46852
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.75919
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.78994
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.76310
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.78596
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.09521
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.33512
  • Upside part of mean
    1.34400
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.04235
  • Upside SD
    0.25860
  • Downside SD
    0.14397
  • N nonnegative terms
    31.00000
  • N negative terms
    100.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.13979
  • Mean of criterion
    0.30165
  • SD of predictor
    0.14214
  • SD of criterion
    0.29652
  • Covariance
    0.01367
  • r
    0.32428
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.67647
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.20709
  • Mean Square Error
    0.07929
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    3.89356
  • p(b)
    0.29723
  • t(a)
    0.51907
  • p(a)
    0.47095
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.33272
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.02022
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.58225
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.99643
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.44592
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.20709
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.25900
  • SD
    0.29071
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.89092
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.88577
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.62997
  • p
    0.47242
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.88470
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.66315
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.88813
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.65966
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.77627
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.99645
  • Upside part of mean
    1.31177
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.05278
  • Upside SD
    0.25072
  • Downside SD
    0.14581
  • N nonnegative terms
    31.00000
  • N negative terms
    100.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.12966
  • Mean of criterion
    0.25900
  • SD of predictor
    0.14274
  • SD of criterion
    0.29071
  • Covariance
    0.01351
  • r
    0.32556
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.66307
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.17302
  • Mean Square Error
    0.07614
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    3.91075
  • p(b)
    0.29646
  • t(a)
    0.44268
  • p(a)
    0.47521
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.03000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.32761
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.99854
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.60028
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.94633
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.39060
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.17302
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02815
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03539
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01180
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02285
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.96033
  • Quartile 1
    0.99632
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00000
  • Maximum
    1.08998
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98474
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99979
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02046
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00368
  • Number outliers low
    23.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.17557
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.98120
  • Number of outliers high
    20.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.15267
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.03226
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.63578
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01247
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01427
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.24097
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01749
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02286
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    4.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00296
  • Quartile 1
    0.02523
  • Median
    0.04290
  • Quartile 3
    0.10014
  • Maximum
    0.24110
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00296
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.03266
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.05315
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.24110
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.07490
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.25000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.24110
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.75%
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -235087000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    89
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.30850
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.33230
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    1.37824
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    1.37824
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    9.38845

Strategy Description

The system always uses 5:1 leverage. To determine the capital requirement multiply the nominal value of one NQ contract by 4. For example, if NQ is traded at $6500, you should allocate $26000 per contract to match the model system. You can adjust it based on your risk profile.

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2018-05-15
Suggested Minimum Capital
$240,000
# Trades
111
# Profitable
55
% Profitable
49.5%
Correlation S&P500
0.250
Sharpe Ratio
0.97
Sortino Ratio
1.52
Beta
0.49
Alpha
0.08
Leverage
4.73 Average
5.28 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.