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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

dow m
(125624499)

Created by: KurtFinster KurtFinster
Started: 10/2019
Futures
Last trade: Yesterday

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $125.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

27.5%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(4.3%)
Max Drawdown
188
Num Trades
50.0%
Win Trades
2.1 : 1
Profit Factor
80.0%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2019                                                               +8.8%+5.2%+4.7%+19.9%
2020(0.1%)+6.4%                                                            +6.3%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 155 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
2/20/20 11:37 XGM0 DAX INDEX LONG 1 13665.00 2/20 11:45 13690.00 n/a $666
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/20/20 10:27 @YMH0 MINI DOW LONG 1 29326 2/20 11:01 29303 0.16%
Trade id #127618397
Max drawdown($90)
Time2/20/20 11:01
Quant open1
Worst price29308
Drawdown as % of equity-0.16%
($123)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/20/20 10:03 @YMH0 MINI DOW LONG 1 29308 2/20 10:22 29327 0.03%
Trade id #127617893
Max drawdown($15)
Time2/20/20 10:04
Quant open1
Worst price29305
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$87
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/20/20 2:07 DXMH0 MINI-DAX INDEX LONG 2 13767.0 2/20 6:39 13773.0 0.61%
Trade id #127612447
Max drawdown($345)
Time2/20/20 4:29
Quant open2
Worst price13735.0
Drawdown as % of equity-0.61%
$49
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/19/20 11:22 @YMH0 MINI DOW LONG 3 29364 2/19 12:20 29380 0.4%
Trade id #127598472
Max drawdown($225)
Time2/19/20 12:05
Quant open3
Worst price29349
Drawdown as % of equity-0.40%
$216
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
2/19/20 10:50 XGM0 DAX INDEX SHORT 1 13794.00 2/19 11:22 13794.00 n/a ($8)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/19/20 11:07 @YMH0 MINI DOW LONG 2 29346 2/19 11:10 29352 0.02%
Trade id #127597991
Max drawdown($10)
Time2/19/20 11:08
Quant open2
Worst price29345
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
$44
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/19/20 10:11 @YMH0 MINI DOW SHORT 2 29284 2/19 11:06 29347 1.01%
Trade id #127596420
Max drawdown($580)
Time2/19/20 11:06
Quant open2
Worst price29342
Drawdown as % of equity-1.01%
($646)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/19/20 10:01 XGM0 DAX INDEX SHORT 1 13797.00 2/19 10:20 13785.50 n/a $302
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/19/20 9:52 @YMH0 MINI DOW LONG 2 29303 2/19 10:01 29278 0.49%
Trade id #127595610
Max drawdown($280)
Time2/19/20 9:59
Quant open2
Worst price29275
Drawdown as % of equity-0.49%
($266)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/19/20 2:44 @WK0 WHEAT LONG 2 561 4/4 2/19 9:56 555 2/4 1.07%
Trade id #127590203
Max drawdown($612)
Time2/19/20 9:55
Quant open2
Worst price555 3/4
Drawdown as % of equity-1.07%
($654)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/14/20 9:41 @YMH0 MINI DOW SHORT 1 29388 2/14 10:16 29372 0.22%
Trade id #127513167
Max drawdown($125)
Time2/14/20 9:49
Quant open1
Worst price29413
Drawdown as % of equity-0.22%
$72
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/14/20 9:36 XGM0 DAX INDEX SHORT 1 13764.00 2/14 9:58 13740.50 n/a $630
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/13/20 11:55 QPLJ0 PLATINUM LONG 2 974.0 2/14 9:33 973.3 0.82%
Trade id #127497874
Max drawdown($470)
Time2/14/20 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price965.7
Drawdown as % of equity-0.82%
($81)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/13/20 11:43 QSIH0 Silver 5000 oz SHORT 2 17.635 2/13 11:55 17.650 0.26%
Trade id #127497152
Max drawdown($150)
Time2/13/20 11:49
Quant open2
Worst price17.650
Drawdown as % of equity-0.26%
($166)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/13/20 9:02 QPLJ0 PLATINUM LONG 2 969.7 2/13 11:24 974.0 0.4%
Trade id #127492787
Max drawdown($230)
Time2/13/20 9:34
Quant open2
Worst price967.4
Drawdown as % of equity-0.40%
$414
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/13/20 7:59 XGM0 DAX INDEX LONG 1 13665.00 2/13 8:33 13698.00 n/a $888
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/13/20 0:34 DXMH0 MINI-DAX INDEX SHORT 4 13712.5 2/13 7:57 13665.0 0.26%
Trade id #127487566
Max drawdown($140)
Time2/13/20 1:01
Quant open2
Worst price13738.0
Drawdown as % of equity-0.26%
$1,000
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00
2/13/20 3:10 XGM0 DAX INDEX LONG 1 13695.00 2/13 3:17 13714.00 n/a $509
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/13/20 2:34 XGM0 DAX INDEX LONG 1 13703.50 2/13 2:59 13695.00 0.42%
Trade id #127488530
Max drawdown($231)
Time2/13/20 2:59
Quant open1
Worst price13695.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.42%
($239)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/13/20 0:33 DXMH0 MINI-DAX INDEX LONG 2 13727.0 2/13 0:34 13725.0 n/a ($38)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/12/20 18:54 @YMH0 MINI DOW SHORT 1 29421 2/12 20:10 29445 0.34%
Trade id #127484662
Max drawdown($185)
Time2/12/20 19:11
Quant open1
Worst price29458
Drawdown as % of equity-0.34%
($128)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/12/20 12:32 @YMH0 MINI DOW LONG 2 29453 2/12 12:55 29424 0.36%
Trade id #127479726
Max drawdown($200)
Time2/12/20 12:54
Quant open2
Worst price29433
Drawdown as % of equity-0.36%
($306)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/12/20 11:03 @YMH0 MINI DOW LONG 2 29434 2/12 11:31 29427 0.38%
Trade id #127476924
Max drawdown($210)
Time2/12/20 11:19
Quant open2
Worst price29413
Drawdown as % of equity-0.38%
($86)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/11/20 21:31 QPLJ0 PLATINUM SHORT 2 974.9 2/12 11:20 968.4 0.04%
Trade id #127467196
Max drawdown($20)
Time2/11/20 21:33
Quant open2
Worst price975.1
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$634
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/12/20 2:06 DXMH0 MINI-DAX INDEX LONG 2 13677.0 2/12 10:23 13723.0 0.61%
Trade id #127469321
Max drawdown($326)
Time2/12/20 3:00
Quant open2
Worst price13647.0
Drawdown as % of equity-0.61%
$485
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/12/20 4:03 XGM0 DAX INDEX SHORT 1 13737.50 2/12 4:17 13708.50 n/a $784
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/12/20 3:44 XGM0 DAX INDEX LONG 1 13723.50 2/12 3:50 13732.50 n/a $238
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
2/11/20 13:03 @YMH0 MINI DOW LONG 2 29287 2/11 13:12 29274 0.24%
Trade id #127461099
Max drawdown($130)
Time2/11/20 13:12
Quant open2
Worst price29274
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
($146)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
2/11/20 12:33 @YMH0 MINI DOW LONG 1 29273 2/11 12:50 29249 0.23%
Trade id #127460617
Max drawdown($125)
Time2/11/20 12:43
Quant open1
Worst price29248
Drawdown as % of equity-0.23%
($128)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    10/3/2019
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $60,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    140.62
  • Age
    141 days ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    188
  • # Profitable
    94
  • % Profitable
    50.00%
  • Avg trade duration
    5.0 hours
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    4.3%
  • drawdown period
    Jan 02, 2020 - Jan 23, 2020
  • Cumul. Return
    27.5%
  • Avg win
    $297.27
  • Avg loss
    $139.23
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $59,855
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $59,855
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    2.14:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    3.55
  • Sortino Ratio
    11.3
  • Calmar Ratio
    40.223
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    12.63%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.00160
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    14.82%
  • Verified
  • C2Star
    2
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    85.2%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    0.01%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.02%
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.275%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    108.4%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    9717.00%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    573
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    924
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    949
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    895
  • Management
  • No Subs Allowed Flag (1: no subs)
    0
  • Strat abandoned?
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $139
  • Avg Win
    $297
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $13,088.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    5
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $27,943.000
  • # Winners
    94
  • Num Months Winners
    4
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    94
  • % Winners
    50.0%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    298.38
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    4.97
  • Avg Trade Length
    0.2 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    1
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    4.35
  • Daily leverage (max)
    16.61
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.17
  • Beta
    0.00
  • Treynor Index
    68.68
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.00
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.69
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    -83.555
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.420
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.099
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    -0.012
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.63811
  • SD
    0.13488
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    4.73104
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    3.42338
  • df
    3.00000
  • t
    2.73146
  • p
    0.03593
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.35499
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    9.53251
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.93869
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    7.78546
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    0.00000
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    0.00000
  • Upside part of mean
    0.63811
  • Downside part of mean
    0.00000
  • Upside SD
    0.21812
  • Downside SD
    0.00000
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    0.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    4.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.43894
  • Mean of criterion
    0.63811
  • SD of predictor
    0.08279
  • SD of criterion
    0.13488
  • Covariance
    0.00605
  • r
    0.54187
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.88282
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.25061
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01928
  • DF error
    2.00000
  • t(b)
    0.91177
  • p(b)
    0.22907
  • t(a)
    0.51321
  • p(a)
    0.32944
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -3.28322
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    5.04886
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.85045
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.35166
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.72281
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.25061
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.61550
  • SD
    0.12920
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    4.76402
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    3.44725
  • df
    3.00000
  • t
    2.75051
  • p
    0.03536
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.33962
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    9.58423
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.92685
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    7.82134
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    0.00000
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    0.00000
  • Upside part of mean
    0.61550
  • Downside part of mean
    0.00000
  • Upside SD
    0.20997
  • Downside SD
    0.00000
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    0.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    4.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.42871
  • Mean of criterion
    0.61550
  • SD of predictor
    0.07994
  • SD of criterion
    0.12920
  • Covariance
    0.00554
  • r
    0.53642
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.86691
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.24385
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01783
  • DF error
    2.00000
  • t(b)
    0.89889
  • p(b)
    0.23179
  • t(a)
    0.51472
  • p(a)
    0.32899
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -3.28268
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    5.01650
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.79456
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.28226
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.70999
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.24385
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01000
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02522
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00000
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    4.00000
  • Minimum
    1.00046
  • Quartile 1
    1.04223
  • Median
    1.05902
  • Quartile 3
    1.06996
  • Maximum
    1.09421
  • Mean of quarter 1
    1.00046
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.05616
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.06188
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.09421
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02773
  • Number outliers low
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.25000
  • Mean of outliers low
    1.00046
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    0.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00000
  • Quartile 1
    0.00000
  • Median
    0.00000
  • Quartile 3
    0.00000
  • Maximum
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.68319
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.85058
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    33.72550
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.79878
  • SD
    0.15042
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    5.31031
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    5.26783
  • df
    94.00000
  • t
    3.19765
  • p
    0.00094
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.95492
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    8.63897
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.92697
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    8.60869
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    19.12770
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    26.80720
  • Upside part of mean
    1.11948
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.32070
  • Upside SD
    0.15192
  • Downside SD
    0.04176
  • N nonnegative terms
    58.00000
  • N negative terms
    37.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    95.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.38626
  • Mean of criterion
    0.79878
  • SD of predictor
    0.09932
  • SD of criterion
    0.15042
  • Covariance
    -0.00071
  • r
    -0.04777
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.07236
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.82700
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02282
  • DF error
    93.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.46123
  • p(b)
    0.67715
  • t(a)
    3.20351
  • p(a)
    0.00093
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.38388
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.23917
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.31426
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.33921
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -11.03960
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.82673
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.78659
  • SD
    0.14850
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    5.29679
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    5.25441
  • df
    94.00000
  • t
    3.18951
  • p
    0.00097
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.94192
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    8.62509
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.91398
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    8.59484
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    18.77110
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    26.44520
  • Upside part of mean
    1.10816
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.32157
  • Upside SD
    0.14975
  • Downside SD
    0.04190
  • N nonnegative terms
    58.00000
  • N negative terms
    37.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    95.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.38110
  • Mean of criterion
    0.78659
  • SD of predictor
    0.09931
  • SD of criterion
    0.14850
  • Covariance
    -0.00071
  • r
    -0.04840
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.07238
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.81417
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02224
  • DF error
    93.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.46729
  • p(b)
    0.67931
  • t(a)
    3.19801
  • p(a)
    0.00095
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.37994
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.23519
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.30861
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.31972
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -10.86810
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.81417
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01202
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01579
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00239
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00492
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    95.00000
  • Minimum
    0.98892
  • Quartile 1
    0.99863
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00429
  • Maximum
    1.04343
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99541
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99974
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00178
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01521
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00566
  • Number outliers low
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.01053
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.98892
  • Number of outliers high
    13.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.13684
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.02232
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -1.82478
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00373
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00382
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.17863
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00503
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00667
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    9.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00049
  • Quartile 1
    0.00719
  • Median
    0.01002
  • Quartile 3
    0.01744
  • Maximum
    0.02973
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00274
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00995
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.01426
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.02683
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01025
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -6.72778
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.02595
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02595
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -1.16047
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.03310
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.03430
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.91023
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.19589
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    40.22280
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    44.57390
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    75.73530
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.01200
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.25%
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -264661000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    21

Strategy Description

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2019-10-03
Suggested Minimum Capital
$60,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 5.1%
Rank # 
#34
# Trades
188
# Profitable
94
% Profitable
50.0%
Correlation S&P500
0.002
Sharpe Ratio
3.55
Sortino Ratio
11.30
Beta
0.00
Alpha
0.17
Leverage
4.35 Average
16.61 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.