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Featured Strategy QUANT AI Gold and Silver +38.3% Cumul. Return since Sep 23, 2025 Hypothetical

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Dow Jones Blaster
(75724956)

Created by: NickShearman5 NickShearman5
Started: 08/2012
Futures
Last trade: 4,833 days ago

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $149.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

-0.3%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(29.5%)
Max Drawdown
20
Num Trades
70.0%
Win Trades
1.0 : 1
Profit Factor
3.6%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2012                                                 +0.4%+0.9%+14.8%+2.4%+3.8%+23.7%
2013(19.1%)+1.2%(5.4%)  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  (22.5%)
2014  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2015  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2016  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2017  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2018  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2019  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2020  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2021  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2022  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2023  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2024  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2025  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2026  -    -    -    -    -    -                                      0.0

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 48 hours.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 6 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. The most recent trade in a real-money brokerage account occurred more than 4941 days ago.

Show AutoTrade data Hide AutoTrade data
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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
3/7/13 4:49 @YMH3 MINI DOW SHORT 3 14294 3/16 11:01 14530 12.85%
Trade id #79584465
Max drawdown($3,885)
Time3/15/13 2:31
Quant open-3
Worst price14553
Drawdown as % of equity-12.85%
 ($3,564)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
2/12/13 16:07 @YMH3 MINI DOW LONG 2 13978 3/5 16:11 14229 7.21%
Trade id #79171684
Max drawdown($2,320)
Time2/25/13 16:44
Quant open2
Worst price13746
Drawdown as % of equity-7.21%
 $2,494
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
12/27/12 16:08 @YMH3 MINI DOW SHORT 2 13004 1/24/13 9:01 13741 23.51%
Trade id #78355870
Max drawdown($7,460)
Time1/24/13 8:31
Quant open-2
Worst price13750
Drawdown as % of equity-23.51%
 ($7,386)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
12/23/12 18:00 @YMH3 MINI DOW SHORT 2 13130 12/25 16:04 13078 n/a $504
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
12/2/12 18:00 @YMZ2 MINI DOW LONG 2 13001 12/21 18:48 13124 2.62%
Trade id #77936822
Max drawdown($960)
Time12/4/12 18:04
Quant open2
Worst price12905
Drawdown as % of equity-2.62%
 $1,214
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
11/26/12 16:09 @YMZ2 MINI DOW SHORT 3 12908 12/2 18:00 13001 6.07%
Trade id #77835917
Max drawdown($2,220)
Time11/30/12 6:35
Quant open-3
Worst price13056
Drawdown as % of equity-6.07%
 ($1,419)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
11/12/12 16:07 @YMZ2 MINI DOW LONG 2 12780 11/19 16:04 12754 9.59%
Trade id #77600927
Max drawdown($3,460)
Time11/16/12 10:07
Quant open2
Worst price12434
Drawdown as % of equity-9.59%
 ($276)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
11/8/12 16:10 @YMZ2 MINI DOW LONG 2 12780 11/9 12:31 12833 2.92%
Trade id #77551651
Max drawdown($1,100)
Time11/9/12 8:13
Quant open2
Worst price12670
Drawdown as % of equity-2.92%
 $514
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
11/7/12 16:05 @YMZ2 MINI DOW SHORT 2 12880 11/8 16:05 12774 1.37%
Trade id #77527460
Max drawdown($510)
Time11/8/12 9:47
Quant open-2
Worst price12931
Drawdown as % of equity-1.37%
 $1,044
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
10/24/12 16:30 @YMZ2 MINI DOW LONG 2 13030 11/1 16:01 13163 2.95%
Trade id #77312452
Max drawdown($1,040)
Time10/29/12 23:43
Quant open2
Worst price12926
Drawdown as % of equity-2.95%
 $1,314
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
10/21/12 18:00 @YMZ2 MINI DOW SHORT 2 13255 10/24 16:07 13016 1.85%
Trade id #77245966
Max drawdown($610)
Time10/22/12 19:56
Quant open-2
Worst price13316
Drawdown as % of equity-1.85%
 $2,374
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
10/14/12 18:00 @YMZ2 MINI DOW LONG 3 13264 10/15 16:08 13330 2.58%
Trade id #77128893
Max drawdown($840)
Time10/14/12 20:25
Quant open3
Worst price13208
Drawdown as % of equity-2.58%
 $971
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
10/9/12 16:30 @YMZ2 MINI DOW SHORT 1 13420 10/10 16:30 13265 0.13%
Trade id #77041765
Max drawdown($40)
Time10/9/12 16:37
Quant open-1
Worst price13428
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
 $767
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
10/2/12 16:10 @YMZ2 MINI DOW LONG 2 13414 10/4 16:02 13504 1.75%
Trade id #76919321
Max drawdown($540)
Time10/3/12 10:04
Quant open2
Worst price13360
Drawdown as % of equity-1.75%
 $884
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
9/17/12 16:13 @YMU2 MINI DOW SHORT 1 13543 9/20 17:29 13605 1.43%
Trade id #76642364
Max drawdown($445)
Time9/19/12 0:23
Quant open-1
Worst price13632
Drawdown as % of equity-1.43%
 ($318)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/13/12 17:23 @YMU2 MINI DOW LONG 1 13524 9/14 16:04 13588 0.13%
Trade id #76592547
Max drawdown($40)
Time9/13/12 18:01
Quant open1
Worst price13516
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
 $312
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
9/12/12 18:00 @YMU2 MINI DOW SHORT 1 13354 9/13 17:23 13524 3.56%
Trade id #76567724
Max drawdown($1,105)
Time9/13/12 14:28
Quant open-1
Worst price13575
Drawdown as % of equity-3.56%
 ($858)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
8/14/12 4:23 @YMU2 MINI DOW LONG 1 13173 9/12 18:00 13354 3.41%
Trade id #75983653
Max drawdown($1,040)
Time9/4/12 10:58
Quant open1
Worst price12965
Drawdown as % of equity-3.41%
 $897
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
8/6/12 16:06 @YMU2 MINI DOW LONG 1 13063 8/9 16:12 13130 0.28%
Trade id #75829881
Max drawdown($85)
Time8/8/12 9:07
Quant open1
Worst price13046
Drawdown as % of equity-0.28%
 $327
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
8/1/12 18:00 @YMU2 MINI DOW SHORT 1 12917 8/2 16:05 12825 1.9%
Trade id #75725219
Max drawdown($565)
Time8/2/12 8:33
Quant open-1
Worst price13030
Drawdown as % of equity-1.90%
 $452
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    8/1/2012
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $30,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    5057.97
  • Age
    169 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    20
  • # Profitable
    14
  • % Profitable
    70.00%
  • Avg trade duration
    7.4 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    29.49%
  • drawdown period
    Dec 31, 2012 - Feb 26, 2013
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    -0.3%
  • Avg win
    $1,018
  • Avg loss
    $2,287
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $30,535
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $30,535
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.04:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    -0.29
  • Sortino Ratio
    -0.41
  • Calmar Ratio
    0.027
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -441.04%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.00310
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    438.47%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    -0.3%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    38.00%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.97%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    -0.003%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    0.1%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    100.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    100.00%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    0
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $2,288
  • Avg Win
    $1,019
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $13,725.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    167
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $14,260.000
  • # Winners
    14
  • Num Months Winners
    6
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    6
  • % Winners
    70.0%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    10589.70
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    176.50
  • Avg Trade Length
    7.4 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    4831
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    -0.01
  • Beta
    0.00
  • Treynor Index
    -4.72
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.05
  • MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    15.25
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    54.52
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.54
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.02
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.10
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    1884.270
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.14
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.705
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.353
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.001
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.00874
  • SD
    0.16214
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.05390
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.05270
  • df
    34.00000
  • t
    -0.09205
  • p
    0.53640
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.20122
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.09420
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.20040
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.09501
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -0.09308
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    1.09229
  • Upside part of mean
    0.10255
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.11129
  • Upside SD
    0.12935
  • Downside SD
    0.09388
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    31.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    35.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.55897
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.00874
  • SD of predictor
    0.27323
  • SD of criterion
    0.16214
  • Covariance
    -0.00574
  • r
    -0.12966
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.07694
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.03427
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02663
  • DF error
    33.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.75117
  • p(b)
    0.77106
  • t(a)
    0.30764
  • p(a)
    0.38015
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.28534
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.13145
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.19237
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.26090
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.11358
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.03427
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.02084
  • SD
    0.15629
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.13336
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.13039
  • df
    34.00000
  • t
    -0.22776
  • p
    0.58940
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.28047
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.01568
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.27845
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.01766
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -0.21004
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    0.95661
  • Upside part of mean
    0.09492
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.11577
  • Upside SD
    0.11797
  • Downside SD
    0.09923
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    31.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    35.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.51179
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.02084
  • SD of predictor
    0.26294
  • SD of criterion
    0.15629
  • Covariance
    -0.00509
  • r
    -0.12396
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.07368
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.01687
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02478
  • DF error
    33.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.71763
  • p(b)
    0.76098
  • t(a)
    0.15897
  • p(a)
    0.43733
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.28257
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.13521
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.19899
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.23273
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.28287
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.01687
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.07313
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.09032
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03001
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.06227
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    35.00000
  • Minimum
    0.87892
  • Quartile 1
    1.00000
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00000
  • Maximum
    1.21217
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97195
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.03427
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.11429
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.93690
  • Number of outliers high
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.11429
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.07710
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.19622
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02999
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.07029
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    1.00000
  • Minimum
    0.18027
  • Quartile 1
    0.18027
  • Median
    0.18027
  • Quartile 3
    0.18027
  • Maximum
    0.18027
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.00714
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.00709
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    0.03933
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    0.07850
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.01415
  • SD
    0.11674
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.12119
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.12107
  • df
    776.00000
  • t
    -0.20870
  • p
    0.58263
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.25933
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    1.01695
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.25921
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    1.01706
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -0.17133
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    3.50857
  • Upside part of mean
    0.28972
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.30386
  • Upside SD
    0.08241
  • Downside SD
    0.08257
  • N nonnegative terms
    61.00000
  • N negative terms
    716.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    777.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.56976
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.01415
  • SD of predictor
    0.33018
  • SD of criterion
    0.11674
  • Covariance
    0.00030
  • r
    0.00785
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.00277
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.01600
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01364
  • DF error
    775.00000
  • t(b)
    0.21851
  • p(b)
    0.41355
  • t(a)
    -0.23057
  • p(a)
    0.59115
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.02215
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.02770
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.14963
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.11818
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -5.09820
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.01573
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.02096
  • SD
    0.11686
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.17936
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.17918
  • df
    776.00000
  • t
    -0.30887
  • p
    0.62125
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.31747
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.95884
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.31734
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.95897
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -0.24951
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    3.40895
  • Upside part of mean
    0.28636
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.30732
  • Upside SD
    0.08114
  • Downside SD
    0.08400
  • N nonnegative terms
    61.00000
  • N negative terms
    716.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    777.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.51526
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.02096
  • SD of predictor
    0.32795
  • SD of criterion
    0.11686
  • Covariance
    0.00030
  • r
    0.00778
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.00277
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.02239
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01367
  • DF error
    775.00000
  • t(b)
    0.21657
  • p(b)
    0.41430
  • t(a)
    -0.32817
  • p(a)
    0.62856
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.02235
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.02790
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.15630
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.11153
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -7.56110
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.02239
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01188
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01486
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00384
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00843
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    777.00000
  • Minimum
    0.94983
  • Quartile 1
    1.00000
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00000
  • Maximum
    1.05940
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99577
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.00446
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    69.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.08880
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.98804
  • Number of outliers high
    63.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.08108
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.01374
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.87823
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00220
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00349
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.04763
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00444
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.01155
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    14.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00003
  • Quartile 1
    0.00363
  • Median
    0.01344
  • Quartile 3
    0.03283
  • Maximum
    0.26029
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00132
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00721
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.02240
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.10387
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02920
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.07143
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.26029
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.38735
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.10493
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.20850
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    1.31735
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.13921
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.00702
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.00697
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    0.02679
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.06712
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    0.46928
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.02791
  • SD
    0.00000
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.00000
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.00000
  • df
    0.00000
  • t
    0.00000
  • p
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.00000
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -16.18640
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    0.00000
  • Upside part of mean
    0.00000
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.02791
  • Upside SD
    0.00000
  • Downside SD
    0.00172
  • N nonnegative terms
    0.00000
  • N negative terms
    131.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.92885
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.02791
  • SD of predictor
    0.48096
  • SD of criterion
    0.00000
  • Covariance
    0.00000
  • r
    0.00000
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.00000
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.00000
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00000
  • DF error
    0.00000
  • t(b)
    0.00000
  • p(b)
    0.00000
  • t(a)
    0.00000
  • p(a)
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.00000
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.00000
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.00000
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.02791
  • SD
    0.00000
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -9748420000000000.00000
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -9692070000000000.00000
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    -6893170000000000.00000
  • p
    1.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -10870200000000000.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -8513980000000000.00000
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -16.18640
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    0.00000
  • Upside part of mean
    0.00000
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.02791
  • Upside SD
    0.00000
  • Downside SD
    0.00172
  • N nonnegative terms
    0.00000
  • N negative terms
    131.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.81293
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.02791
  • SD of predictor
    0.48002
  • SD of criterion
    0.00000
  • Covariance
    0.00000
  • r
    0.00000
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.00000
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.02791
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00000
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    0.00000
  • p(b)
    0.50000
  • t(a)
    -6829050000000000.00000
  • p(a)
    1.00000
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.01200
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.00000
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.00000
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.02791
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.02791
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -212054000000000013490088818245632.00000
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.02791
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00011
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00011
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00000
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    1.00000
  • Quartile 1
    1.00000
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00000
  • Maximum
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 1
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    0.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00000
  • Quartile 1
    0.00000
  • Median
    0.00000
  • Quartile 3
    0.00000
  • Maximum
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    n/a
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -371748000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    57
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.00000
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    0.00000

Strategy Description

Dow Jones Blaster is a proprietry trading system which involves timing and years of experience following the DJI.

Trades usually take place at the end of the stock exchange normal trading hours.

Trade duration is normally 2-3 days.

Stop losses are used, but if a loss is incurred then because of the nature of the system losses will not be excessive.

Healthy monthly returns should be achievable over a prolonged period of time.
Trade this strategy at Tradier

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2012-08-01
Suggested Minimum Capital
$25,000
# Trades
20
# Profitable
14
% Profitable
70.0%
Correlation S&P500
0.003
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29
Sortino Ratio
-0.41
Beta
0.00
Alpha
-0.01

Latest Activity

subscribed on started simulation

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.